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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - Colorado Rapids

05/03/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.4
Total xG
2.8
Colorado Rapids
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
HDCR

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-1.21
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.62
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.16
全员可用

Colorado Rapids

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.76
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.19
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.07
Paxten Aaronson替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Wayne Frederick替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

28%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a very balanced match with a slight advantage for Colorado (37% away win, 35% home win)
  • Colorado's Offensive Power Meets Defensive Weaknesses: Colorado Rapids shows high offensive production (Avg. 2.2 goals per season) but displays defensive vulnerabilities away from home (Avg. 3.0 goals conceded per away game)
  • Houston's Home Offense and Form: Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.5 goals at home, however, their recent goal production is declining (0.8 recently vs. 1.3 season average)
风险因素
  • Colorado's Away Defensive Weakness: Colorado Rapids concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • Houston's Form: Houston Dynamo's goal production is declining recently (0.8 goals compared to 1.3 season average)
  • Both Teams To Score in 58% of cases: There is an increased probability that both teams will score, which can affect the predictability of the match
概述

Houston Dynamo hosts Colorado Rapids in Major League Soccer

The match will take place on May 3, 2026, 2:30 AM

Houston is in 10th place with 12 points

Colorado is in 7th place with 13 points

Only one point separates the two teams in the standings

近期状态

Houston Dynamo's form across all competitions is LLWWL

The team recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Houston's recent goal production is stagnant with 0.8 goals recently, while the season average is 1.3 goals

Colorado Rapids shows a form of LWLDL

This equates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses from their last 5 games

Colorado Rapids is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 2.8 goals) than their season average (Avg. 2.4 goals)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Houston Dynamo has scored an average of 1.33 goals per game this season and conceded 2.0 goals per game

In home games, Houston scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.5 goals

The team kept 2 clean sheets, with 1 at home

Both teams scored in 4 games, and 4 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Colorado Rapids has scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.8 goals per game

Away from home, Colorado scored an average of 2.0 goals but conceded an alarming 3.0 goals per away game

Colorado kept 2 clean sheets, with 1 away

For Colorado, both teams scored in 7 games, and 7 games ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids

Houston Dynamo won 2 of these encounters, Colorado Rapids also won 2, and 1 match ended in a draw

Houston scored 9 goals, while Colorado scored 11 goals

The last encounter was on April 12, 2026, with Colorado Rapids winning 6-2 at home against Houston Dynamo

The balance of recent meetings is even

关键球员

For Houston Dynamo, these players stand out

Guilherme, attacker, scored 5 goals and 4 assists in 9 appearances with an average rating of 8.16

Mateusz Bogusz, midfielder, contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 9 appearances and has an average rating of 7.05

Lawrence Ennali, attacker, has 2 goals in 9 appearances and an average rating of 6.63

For Colorado Rapids, these players are important

Rafael Navarro, attacker, led the offense with 7 goals and 3 assists in 10 appearances with an average rating of 7.50

Darren Yapi, attacker, recorded 3 goals and 2 assists in 10 appearances with an average rating of 6.74

Kosi Thompson, defender, scored 2 goals in 4 appearances and has an average rating of 7.01

门将

Houston Dynamo's goalkeeper, Jonathan Bond, kept 2 clean sheets this season

For Colorado Rapids, Zack Steffen is in goal, who also kept 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Houston Dynamo scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.5 goals in their 4 home games

Colorado Rapids scored an average of 2.0 goals but conceded 3.0 goals in their 4 away games

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