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Major League Soccer

Toronto - Austin

04/18/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Toronto
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Austin
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
TORAUS

Toronto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.54
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
+0.05
20%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Austin

防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.67
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第6位, 相差6位)
-0.07
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.59
+0.59
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

28%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

72%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Toronto is predicted to win at home with a 49% probability by the mathematical model
  • Toronto's current form, with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games, is significantly better than Austin's (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
  • Toronto shows strong offensive play with an average of 5.2 shots on target in the last 5 games
风险因素
  • Austin concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
  • Austin averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Toronto hosts Austin in a Major League Soccer match on April 18, 2026, 7:00 PM. Toronto is in 6th place with 11 points. Austin is in 12th place with 6 points. Toronto aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table. Austin is fighting to catch up with the midfield of the league

近期状态

Toronto's form is strong with WDWWD. This reflects 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches. Toronto recently drew 1-1 against Cincinnati. Austin shows poor form with LLDDL. They recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 games. Their last result was a 1-2 loss against LA Galaxy. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Toronto averages 1.43 goals scored per game and concedes 1.57 goals this season. At home, the average is 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per home game. They kept 1 clean sheet throughout the season. Austin averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes 1.57 goals per game. Away, their average is 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded per away game. They kept 2 clean sheets this season. Both teams scored in 5 of their season games, and for Austin, this was also 5 times

历史交锋

Historically, there has been 1 head-to-head match between Toronto and Austin. Toronto won this single game. Toronto scored 2 goals, while Austin scored 1 goal. The last encounter ended on September 14, 2024, with a 2-1 victory for Toronto. Toronto has recently dominated this fixture

关键球员

Toronto's offense is led by Dániel Sallói, who contributed 2 goals and 1 assist this season. In his last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.01. Alonso Coello shows rising form with an average rating of 7.55 in his last 5 games and 1 assist this season. José Cifuentes is also a key player with 1 goal this season and 1 goal in his last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.99 in the last 5 matches. For Austin, Myrto Uzuni is an important offensive force with 2 goals and 1 assist this season. He scored 1 goal in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.76. Facundo Torres contributed 3 assists this season and achieved an average rating of 6.95 in his last 5 games. Jon Bell has scored 1 season goal and shown stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.91

门将

Luka Gavran is Toronto's goalkeeper and has a season average rating of 6.6. He kept 1 clean sheet. Brad Stuver is Austin's goalkeeper with a season average rating of 7.28. He achieved 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Toronto scores an average of 1.4 goals at home and concedes 1 goal per game. Austin concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game

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