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Major League Soccer

Austin - Colorado Rapids

09/10/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Austin
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Colorado Rapids
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
AUSCR

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.95
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02

Colorado Rapids

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.45倍)
-0.82
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.04
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第14位, 相差6位)
+0.03
Rafael Navarro未进大名单 (10球, 3助攻)
Georgi Minoungou替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

34%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Struggling away offense: Colorado Rapids' goal production has slowed down averaging 0.8 goals recently compared to their 1.4 season average
  • Possession dominance: Austin controlled matches recently averaging 55.2% possession and recording 4.6 shots on target
  • Defensive discrepancy: Austin concedes only 0.92 goals at home while Colorado allows 3.14 goals per game on the road
风险因素
  • Vulnerable away defense: Colorado Rapids concede an average of 3.14 goals per away game
  • Low offensive threat: Colorado Rapids averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data coverage regarding local weather conditions for this match
概述

Austin (14th place, 25 points) host Colorado Rapids (8th place, 31 points) at the Q2 Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 10, 2026, 2:30 AM

The model calculates a home win probability of 39%

The mathematical prediction estimates 1.14 goals for the hosts and 0.90 goals for the visitors

近期状态

Austin's form is stable with LWDWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Most recently the home side recorded a 1-1 draw against SJ Earthquakes

Colorado Rapids travel with a form of WWLWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)

The visitors lost their last match 0-3 against Columbus Crew

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Austin scored 29 goals and conceded 42 goals this season

At home Austin's defense is more stable conceding an average of 0.92 goals per game

Colorado Rapids scored 31 goals and conceded 31 goals in 23 matches

Away from home the Rapids struggle defensively conceding an average of 3.14 goals per match

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches overall

Colorado Rapids won 3 times, Austin won 2 times with no draws

The last direct duel ended in a 1-0 win for Colorado Rapids on August 2, 2026

关键球员

For Austin Facundo Torres stands out with 3 goals and 5 assists

Ervin Torres stabilizes the midfield with a season rating of 6.82

Guilherme Biro has already scored 3 goals this season for the hosts

For Colorado Rapids Paxten Aaronson leads the team with 4 goals and 5 assists

Reggie Cannon contributed 2 goals from defense recently

Youssef Maziz recorded 2 assists in 5 appearances

Not nominated: Rafael Navarro (10 goals/3 assists), Georgi Minoungou (0 goals/2 assists)

门将

Austin relies on goalkeeper Brad Stuver with a season rating of 7.16 and 4 clean sheets

On the other side Nicolas Hansen starts for Colorado Rapids with a season rating of 7.01

影响因素

Austin utilizes home advantage on grass at the Q2 Stadium with 4 clean sheets

The historical venue stats show an average of 2.8 total goals per match

Colorado Rapids struggle on the road on natural grass surfaces

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