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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - Colorado Rapids

05/17/2026, 01:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Colorado Rapids
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
RSLCR

Real Salt Lake

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.8倍)
-0.94
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.51
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.43
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第10位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Diego Luna未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Morgan Guilavogui替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

Colorado Rapids

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.65
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.46
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.43
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.33
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.31
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第4位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Darren Yapi替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Dante Sealy替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

70%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Real Salt Lake with a probability of 48%
  • Real Salt Lake's strong home offense (Avg. 2.00 goals) meets Colorado Rapids' vulnerable away defense (Avg. 2.60 goals conceded)
  • Real Salt Lake averaged 6.2 shots on target recently, while Colorado Rapids only had 2.2 shots on target
风险因素
  • Real Salt Lake has only 3 days since the last match
  • Colorado Rapids has only 3 days since the last match
  • Colorado Rapids averaged 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Real Salt Lake (4th place, 22 points) host Colorado Rapids (10th place, 16 points) in Major League Soccer

The match takes place on May 17, 2026, 2:30 AM

Real Salt Lake aims to extend their lead in the standings, while Colorado Rapids seek to climb the table

近期状态

Real Salt Lake's form in their last five matches (LLWLW) shows 2 wins and 3 losses

Their last result was a 3-0 win against Houston Dynamo

Colorado Rapids' form in their last five matches (DLLLW) includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

They won their last game 1-0 against Minnesota United

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Real Salt Lake has averaged 1.92 goals scored per game and conceded 1.42 goals per game this season

At home, Real Salt Lake is offensively strong with an average of 2.00 goals per home game and defensively stable with only 0.88 goals conceded per home game

Real Salt Lake's matches saw both teams score in 8 games, and 9 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Colorado Rapids averaged 1.77 goals scored per game and conceded 1.54 goals

Away from home, the Rapids conceded an average of 2.60 goals per away game and scored 1.80 away goals

The Rapids had both teams score in 7 games, and 7 games ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Real Salt Lake recorded 2 wins, Colorado Rapids had 3 wins, and there were no draws

Both teams scored 9 goals in these encounters

Real Salt Lake won the last direct encounter 1-0 on October 5, 2025

The Colorado Rapids have been slightly more dominant in recent direct encounters

关键球员

For Real Salt Lake, Zavier Gozo (5 goals, 3 assists) and Sergi Solans (5 goals, 2 assists) are key attacking players

Juan Manuel Sanabria has contributed 3 assists

Not nominated are Diego Luna (4G/1A) and Morgan Guilavogui (1G/3A)

For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro is the standout player with 8 goals and 3 assists

Paxten Aaronson (3 goals, 2 assists) and Kosi Thompson (2 goals) are also important

Not nominated are Darren Yapi (3G/2A) and Dante Sealy (0G/2A)

门将

Real Salt Lake's goalkeeper Rafael Cabral kept 2 clean sheets in 12 appearances

For Colorado Rapids, Nicolas Hansen played in 4 matches and has not yet completed a game without conceding a goal

影响因素

Real Salt Lake exhibits a strong offense at home with an average of 2.00 goals and a solid defense with an average of 0.88 goals conceded

Colorado Rapids show a vulnerable defense away from home with an average of 2.60 goals conceded per game

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