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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - SJ Earthquakes

05/14/2026, 01:30 AM

3 : 2
预期进球
Seattle Sounders
1.6
Total xG
2.8
SJ Earthquakes
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SSSE

Seattle Sounders

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.25
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.39
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
Jordan Morris替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

SJ Earthquakes

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.62
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.37
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
Preston Judd替补席 (8球, 2助攻)
Timo Werner未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Ousseni Bouda替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Niko Tsakiris未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Beau Leroux替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Daniel Munie替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Jamar Ricketts替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
80%进球产出缺失 (仅27%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

28%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • The mathematical prediction sees Seattle as favorites with 44% and expects 1.58 home goals
  • SJ Earthquakes are severely weakened and play without key players like Preston Judd and Timo Werner, which reduces their goal threat to just 27%
  • Despite the absences, SJ Earthquakes show good offensive form, averaging 2.8 goals in recent matches
风险因素
  • Both teams drew their last two games, which could indicate a tight match
  • The goalkeepers of both teams, Andrew Thomas and Daniel, show a declining form trend
概述

Seattle Sounders (4th place, 21 points) host SJ Earthquakes (1st place, 29 points) in Major League Soccer

Match on May 14, 2026, 3:30 AM

This top match brings together two teams from the upper half of the table, with SJ Earthquakes leading the standings

近期状态

Seattle Sounders show a form of WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) from their last five games

Their last two matches both ended in a draw

SJ Earthquakes also show strong form with WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)

The visitors also drew their last two games

Both teams show a positive form trend according to advanced stats

统计数据

Seattle Sounders scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 0.6 goals per game this season

At home, these values improve to an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded

SJ Earthquakes appear offensively stronger with an average of 2.25 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded per game

Away from home, SJ Earthquakes score an average of 2.17 goals and concede 0.83 goals

Seattle kept 5 clean sheets, SJ Earthquakes also kept 5 clean sheets

历史交锋

In the last five direct encounters, Seattle Sounders won two, SJ Earthquakes won one, and two ended in a draw

Seattle scored 9 goals in these matches, while SJ Earthquakes scored 8 goals

The last encounter on March 15, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Seattle Sounders

关键球员

For Seattle Sounders, Jesús Ferreira is a key player with 1 goal and 4 assists, his form is stable

Albert Rusnák contributes to the offense with 2 goals and 3 assists, his form is also stable

Cristian Roldán shows rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist

For SJ Earthquakes, Paul Marie stands out with 4 assists and shows rising form

Jack Skahan scored 2 goals, his form is stable

Jack Jasinski scored 1 goal, his form is stable

门将

Andrew Thomas, goalkeeper for Seattle Sounders, has recorded 5 clean sheets this season

His form trend shows a declining tendency

Daniel, goalkeeper for SJ Earthquakes, kept 5 clean sheets

His form trend also shows a declining tendency

影响因素

Seattle Sounders show a solid performance at home with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded

SJ Earthquakes score an average of 2.17 goals away and concede 0.83 goals

This suggests a tendency towards an offensive away team

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