Major League Soccer
San Diego - Austin
05/14/2026, 01:30 AM
预期进球
2.0
3.2
1.2
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
San Diego
Austin
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
24%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 54% for San Diego
- San Diego shows stability in home games with an average of 1.62 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded, whereas Austin displays defensive weaknesses away, conceding 2.43 goals per away game on average
- Austin demonstrates a positive form trend in goal production, averaging 2.0 goals in recent matches compared to a season average of 1.6 goals, while San Diego's recent goal production has declined to 1.2 goals from a season average of 1.7 goals
风险因素
- Austin exhibits significant defensive issues in away games, conceding an average of 2.43 goals per away match
- San Diego's goal production has recently declined to 1.2 goals per game, below their season average of 1.7 goals
- San Diego recorded an average of only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
San Diego (12th place, 13 points) hosts Austin (10th place, 14 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 14, 2026, 2:30 AM. Both teams are in the lower mid-table and urgently need points to improve their league position.
近期状态
San Diego shows poor form in their last five games with LLLDD, equating to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last result was a 1-1 draw against Seattle Sounders. Austin's form is DLWWD, meaning 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Their last game ended in a 2-2 draw against Minnesota United. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
San Diego scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per game this season. In home matches, the average is 1.62 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded. The team has kept 3 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 7 matches, and 8 matches had over 2.5 goals. Austin scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.75 goals per game. Away from home, the average is 1.43 goals scored and 2.43 goals conceded. Austin has recorded 4 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 8 matches, and 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
The 2 direct encounters have shown an even record. San Diego won 1 match and Austin also won 1 match, with no draws. San Diego scored a total of 3 goals, while Austin scored 2. The last meeting on June 1, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for San Diego.
关键球员
For San Diego, Marcus Ingvartsen (8 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.28 rating) and Anders Dreyer (5 goals, 5 assists, avg 7.60 rating) are crucial offensively. Onni Valakari contributes with 3 goals and 2 assists. For Austin, Myrto Uzuni stands out with 5 goals and 1 assist (avg 7.08 rating), with his form currently rising. Facundo Torres provided 1 goal and 5 assists (avg 7.27 rating). Jon Bell contributed 2 goals (avg 6.56 rating). Not nominated: Christian Ramirez (4G/1A)
门将
San Diego relies on Duran Ferree, who has kept 3 clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.88. For Austin, Brad Stuver is in goal, having kept 4 clean sheets and achieved an average rating of 7.37.
影响因素
San Diego shows higher efficiency in home games with an average of 1.62 goals scored and only 1.0 goals conceded. Austin, on the other hand, displays defensive weaknesses away from home, conceding an average of 2.43 goals.