Major League Soccer
Austin - Sporting KC
05/17/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Austin
Sporting KC
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
28%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Austin with a probability of 54%
- Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Austin's solid home defense (Avg. 0.67 goals conceded) meets Sporting KC's extremely vulnerable away defense (Avg. 7.0 goals conceded)
- Head-to-Head Record: Austin has won three out of four direct encounters and has been dominant in recent matchups
风险因素
- Short Recovery Time: Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Sporting KC's Dire Away Defense: The team concedes an average of 7.0 goals per away game
概述
Austin (13th place, 14 points) will host Sporting KC (15th place, 8 points) in Major League Soccer on May 17, 2026, 1:30 AM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table. The match is crucial for improving their league standing.
近期状态
Austin's form in the league is LWWDL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their recent results include a 0-5 loss against San Diego and a 2-2 draw against Minnesota United. Sporting KC's form is LLDLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), with a recent 3-1 win against LA Galaxy and a 0-6 loss against Portland Timbers. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Austin averages 1.38 goals scored per game and concedes 2.0 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded, with four clean sheets. Sporting KC averages 0.92 goals scored and 2.75 goals conceded per game. Away from home, these figures are 1.0 goal scored and an extremely high 7.0 goals conceded, with zero away clean sheets. Austin scores consistently (~1.4 goals per game) with a stable recent form trend. Sporting KC's goal production is faltering (0.8), with their season average at 0.9, indicating a negative trend.
历史交锋
In four direct encounters, Austin secured three victories, while Sporting KC won once. There have been no draws. Austin scored six goals, and Sporting KC scored five goals. The last match was a 2-1 win for Austin on September 7, 2025. Austin has dominated recent matchups.
关键球员
For Austin, Myrto Uzuni (5 goals, 1 assist, 3 goals in last 5 games, rising form trend), Facundo Torres (1 goal, 5 assists, 2 assists in last 5 games, stable form trend), and Christian Ramirez (4 goals, 1 assist, 2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, stable form trend) are key offensive players. For Sporting KC, Dejan Joveljić (6 goals, 1 assist, 2 goals in last 5 games, stable form trend), Calvin Harris (1 goal, 3 assists, 1 goal, 2 assists in last 5 games, stable form trend), and Capita (1 goal, 0 assists, 1 goal in last 5 games, stable form trend) stand out.
门将
Brad Stuver of Austin recorded four clean sheets in 13 season appearances. Sporting KC's Stefan Cleveland kept zero clean sheets in his three appearances.
影响因素
Austin demonstrates a strong home defense, conceding an average of 0.67 goals per home game and keeping four clean sheets. In contrast, Sporting KC's away defense is extremely vulnerable, conceding an average of 7.0 goals per away game and failing to keep any away clean sheets.