Major League Soccer
Dallas - St. Louis City
04/12/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.7
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Dallas
St. Louis City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
27%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Dallas' home strength: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 48% probability and 1.66 expected home goals
- Offensive matchup: Dallas' strong offense (Avg. 2.5 home goals) meets St. Louis City's extremely vulnerable away defense (Avg. 5.0 goals conceded per away game)
- Form difference: Dallas is in better form with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games, while St. Louis City recorded 3 losses and only 1 win
风险因素
- Joaquín Valiente is not nominated for Dallas, which could mean 37.5% of the usual assists are missing
- St. Louis City's away defense is extremely vulnerable, conceding an average of 5.0 goals per away game
概述
Dallas (6th place, 11 points) hosts St. Louis City (13th place, 5 points) in Major League Soccer. The match will take place on April 12, 2026, 1:30 AM. Dallas enters this encounter as the favorite, aiming to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table.
近期状态
Dallas shows a form of DLDWW in their last five matches
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
St. Louis City has a form of LLLWD
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Dallas averages 2.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.5 goals
In home games, they score 2.5 goals and concede 2 goals per match
St. Louis City averages 0.83 goals scored and concedes 1.33 goals
Away from home, St. Louis City scores 1 goal and concedes an alarming 5 goals per game
Dallas kept 2 clean sheets, while St. Louis City has yet to keep one
For Dallas, over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches, for St. Louis City in 1 match
Both teams scored in 3 matches for Dallas and also in 3 matches for St. Louis City
历史交锋
In the 4 previous head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins for Dallas and 2 draws
St. Louis City could not win any of the matches
Dallas scored a total of 6 goals, while St. Louis City managed 1 goal
The last encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on September 7, 2025
Dallas has been the more dominant side in recent direct confrontations
关键球员
Dallas:
Petar Musa is a key player with 7 goals and 0 assists in 6 season appearances with an average rating of 7.79
Logan Farrington scored 4 goals and 1 assist in 6 appearances with a rating of 7.31
Osaze Urhoghide contributed 1 goal and 1 assist, his rating is 7.15
St. Louis City:
Marcel Hartel scored 2 goals and 0 assists in 5 season appearances with an average rating of 7.62
Chris Durkin has 1 goal and 0 assists in 6 appearances, his rating is 7.02
Simon Becher contributed 1 goal and 1 assist, his rating is 6.83
门将
Michael Collodi of Dallas has recorded 2 clean sheets this season
His average rating is 6.76
Roman Bürki of St. Louis City has not kept any clean sheets this season
His average rating is 6.9
影响因素
Dallas shows a clear home advantage, as the team scores an average of 2.5 goals at home
At the same time, they concede an average of 2 goals in home matches