Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers - St. Louis City
09/10/2026, 02:30 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Portland Timbers
St. Louis City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
29%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Tactical shooting advantage: St. Louis City averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Portland's average of 3.8
- Offensive upward trend: Both teams are currently scoring more frequently than their season average (Portland 2.2 vs. 1.9; St. Louis 2.4 vs. 1.6)
- Tight matchup: The mathematical model estimates a 37% probability for a home win and a 34% probability for an away win
风险因素
- St. Louis City absences: Simon Becher, Conrad Wallem, and Lukas MacNaughton are missing, leaving only 63% of the usual starting strength available
- Portland Timbers absence: The unselected Kevin Kelsy weakens the team, which starts with 90% of its regular lineup strength
- Defensive vulnerability: Portland Timbers concede an average of 1.87 goals per match this season
概述
Portland Timbers host St. Louis City at Providence Park
Major League Soccer match on September 10, 2026, 4:30 AM
Portland is in 7th place with 31 points
St. Louis City occupies 5th place with 37 points
近期状态
Portland shows a form of LWDLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
St. Louis City remains unbeaten in 5 games with a form of WDWDW
The visitors achieved 3 wins and 2 draws in their recent run
统计数据
Portland scores an average of 1.91 goals and concedes 1.87 per match
Both teams scored in 18 of Portland's 23 games this season
St. Louis City averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
Portland's home attack is productive with 1.93 goals per home game
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams
Both teams have won 1 game each, with 2 matches ending in a draw
The overall goal record in these direct encounters is even at 7:7
The last match was won 2-1 by St. Louis City
关键球员
Kristoffer Velde has registered 6 goals and 6 assists this season
David Da Costa contributed 3 goals and 7 assists for Portland
Daniel Ethan Edelman has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists for St. Louis City
门将
James Pantemis has kept 1 clean sheet for Portland this season
Roman Bürki has recorded 3 clean sheets for St. Louis City
影响因素
The match is played on artificial turf at Providence Park
Portland has a strong home record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses on turf
Providence Park venue stats show an average of 4.4 goals per match
The mathematical analysis predicts a 57% chance of both teams scoring