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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - SJ Earthquakes

08/30/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.2
Total xG
2.3
SJ Earthquakes
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
HDSE

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.89
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.59
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Agustín Bouzat替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

SJ Earthquakes

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.26
Preston Judd替补席 (11球, 3助攻)
Timo Werner未进大名单 (6球, 4助攻)
Nick Fernandez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.9球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

32%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Form discrepancy: Houston Dynamo recorded 4 wins in 5 games compared to 4 losses for the visitors
  • Weakened guest attack: San Jose is missing key forwards Preston Judd and Timo Werner, leaving only 78% of active goals available
  • Strong home defense: Houston concedes an average of just 0.78 goals per match at home
风险因素
  • Historical setback: The last direct encounter in August 2025 ended in a 1-2 home defeat for Houston
  • Low-scoring arena trend: The venue recently averaged a low of just 1.6 total goals per match
  • Low offensive volume: Houston Dynamo recently averaged only 4.2 shots on target per match
概述

Houston Dynamo (2nd place, 38 points) host SJ Earthquakes (4th place, 33 points) at the Shell Energy Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 30, 2026, 2:30 AM

A crucial battle in the upper part of the table

近期状态

Houston Dynamo is in strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss

Form across competitions is WWWWL

SJ Earthquakes are struggling with 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games

Form of the away team is DLLLL

统计数据

Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.43 goals and concedes 1.24 goals per match

At home, Houston's defense is highly stable, conceding only 0.78 goals per game

SJ Earthquakes average 1.86 goals scored but also concede 1.57 goals per match

历史交锋

Out of 4 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo won 2, with 1 draw and 1 win for SJ Earthquakes

The last match on August 24, 2025, ended in a 2-1 away victory for SJ Earthquakes

Houston leads the goal ratio with 7 goals scored compared to 6 conceded

关键球员

Guilherme leads the home attack with 12 goals and 5 assists, averaging a 7.85 rating

Jack McGlynn has contributed 2 goals and 5 assists from midfield

Ousseni Bouda is a key offensive outlet for the visitors with 5 goals this season

门将

Jonathan Bond has kept 9 clean sheets so far this season

Away goalkeeper Angus Gunn holds a season average rating of 6.58

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Shell Energy Stadium

Recent venue history shows a low-scoring trend with an average of 1.6 goals per game

The mathematical model calculates a 39% probability for a home win and 32% for a draw

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