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Major League Soccer

St. Louis City - Los Angeles FC

05/14/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
St. Louis City
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Los Angeles FC
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
SLCLAF

St. Louis City

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.50
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.03
Simon Becher替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体0.9球)

Los Angeles FC

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.30
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.23
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.19
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.06
David Martínez替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Nathan Ordaz替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Stephen Eustaquio替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

29%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Los Angeles FC's significantly better season performance with 3rd place and 1.67 goals on average
  • Los Angeles FC's historical superiority with 4 wins from 5 direct encounters
  • The pipeline analysis predicts a narrow home win with 39% probability despite the league table difference
风险因素
  • Los Angeles FC has only 3 days rest since their last match
  • St. Louis City is missing Simon Becher (1 goal, 3 assists), with only 61% of their assist threat available
概述

St. Louis City (14th place, 9 points) hosts Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 21 points) in a Major League Soccer match. The game takes place on May 14, 2026, 2:30 AM. Los Angeles FC holds a top position, while St. Louis City is at the lower end of the table

近期状态

St. Louis City's current form across all competitions is 'DLLLW', which corresponds to one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games. Their last result was a win. Los Angeles FC has a form of 'LDWDL', with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their last result was a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

St. Louis City averages 0.91 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded per game this season. At home, the average is 0.86 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded. Los Angeles FC is stronger offensively with an average of 1.67 goals per game and a better defense of 1.0 goals conceded per match. Away from home, Los Angeles FC scores 1.5 goals and concedes 1.0 goals on average. St. Louis City consistently scores (~1.0 goals per game) according to Advanced Stats. Los Angeles FC's goal production is currently stagnant (1.3), while their season average is 2.0

历史交锋

In the five direct encounters so far, Los Angeles FC has clearly dominated with four wins and one draw. St. Louis City has not managed to win any of the five meetings. Los Angeles FC scored a total of 10 goals in these matches, while St. Louis City only managed 2 goals. Los Angeles FC won the last game 2-0 on March 15, 2026

关键球员

For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.68 rating), Eduard Löwen (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 6.89 rating), and Daniel Ethan Edelman (0 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.88 rating) are key players in the starting eleven. For Los Angeles FC, Denis Bouanga (5 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.23 rating), Mark Delgado (1 goal, 1 assist, avg 7.17 rating), and Heung-min Son (0 goals, 7 assists, avg 7.12 rating) are notable

门将

Roman Bürki of St. Louis City kept 1 clean sheet this season, with an average rating of 6.81. Hugo Lloris of Los Angeles FC recorded 8 clean sheets and has an average rating of 6.99

影响因素

St. Louis City scored an average of 0.86 home goals and conceded 0.86 home goals. Los Angeles FC scored an average of 1.5 away goals and conceded 1.0 away goals

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