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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United - Los Angeles FC

04/25/2026, 08:45 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Minnesota United
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Los Angeles FC
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
MULAF

Minnesota United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-1.16
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.75
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.33
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Tomás Chancalay替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Joaquín Pereyra替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Los Angeles FC

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.42
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.21
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.13
Heung-min Son替补席 (0球, 6助攻)
Mark Delgado替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Mathieu Choinière替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体2.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

28%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Current Form: Minnesota United is in top form with four consecutive wins, while Los Angeles FC has only managed one win in their last five games
  • Defensive Strength: Los Angeles FC boasts a stable season defense (0.67 goals conceded), while Minnesota United is unbeaten at home (0 goals conceded in 2 home games)
  • Mathematical Prediction: The pipeline analysis sees Minnesota United as a slight favorite with a home win probability of 43%
风险因素
  • Minnesota United: Only 60% of the usual starting XI's attacking threat is available without Tomás Chancalay and Joaquín Pereyra
  • Los Angeles FC: Only 65% of the usual starting XI's attacking threat is available without Heung-min Son, Mark Delgado, and Mathieu Choinière
  • Short Recovery Time: Both teams had only 2 days of rest since their last match
概述

Minnesota United (4th place, 17 points) host Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 17 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 25, 2026, 3:45 PM. Both teams are level on points in the table and are vying for a better position.

近期状态

Minnesota United shows strong form with W-W-W-W-D in their last five games, securing four consecutive wins. Most recently, they defeated Dallas away with a 1-0 score. Los Angeles FC, however, is in a weaker phase with D-L-L-W-D from their last five matches. The team has only managed one win, two draws, and two losses during this period. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Minnesota United scores an average of 1.22 goals per game and concedes 1.44 goals per game. In home games, the average is 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded. Los Angeles FC is stronger offensively with 1.78 goals scored per game and a very stable defense with only 0.67 goals conceded per game. Away, Los Angeles FC averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game. Minnesota United kept a clean sheet in 4 games, Los Angeles FC in 7 games. Both teams scored in 4 games for Minnesota United and 2 games for Los Angeles FC. Minnesota United's games had over 2.5 goals in 5 matches, and Los Angeles FC's in 4 matches.

历史交锋

In the four direct encounters between Minnesota United and Los Angeles FC, Minnesota United recorded one win. Los Angeles FC won three of the matches. The goal difference stands at 2:4 in favor of Los Angeles FC. The last meeting saw Los Angeles FC win 0-1 away on July 17, 2025.

关键球员

For Minnesota United, forward Kelvin Yeboah is a key player with 5 season goals in 9 appearances. Defender Anthony Markanich Jr. contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 9 appearances. Midfielder James Rodríguez shows a rising trend with a form trend of +0.21. For Los Angeles FC, forward Denis Bouanga shines with 4 season goals and 1 assist in 9 games, including 3 goals in his last 5 games. Midfielder Stephen Eustaquio scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 appearances. Goalkeeper Hugo Lloris has an average season rating of 7.23 in 8 appearances.

门将

Minnesota United's goalkeeper, Drake Callender, kept a clean sheet in 4 out of 9 games. Los Angeles FC's goalkeeper Hugo Lloris boasts an impressive record of 7 clean sheets in 8 appearances.

影响因素

Minnesota United displays a very strong defensive performance at home with an average of 0.0 goals conceded per home game. Los Angeles FC averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded away from home.

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