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Major League Soccer

Austin - San Diego

09/27/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 3
预期进球
Austin
1.3
Total xG
2.4
San Diego
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
AUSSD

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.79
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.01
J. Rosales替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Guilherme Biro未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)

San Diego

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.30
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.09
Onni Valakari未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
Elias Achouri替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Gabriel Pirani未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

31%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

69%

双方进球

是

50%

否

50%

关键因素
  • Austin currently scores more frequently, with a recent average of 1.5 goals compared to a season average of 1.3
  • San Diego has a clear weakness on the road, conceding an average of 2.86 goals per away game
  • The mathematical model calculates a home win or draw probability of 69%
风险因素
  • Austin recently averaged only 2.6 shots on target per game
  • San Diego's goal-scoring has stalled recently, with a recent average of 1.4 goals compared to a season average of 1.7
概述

Austin hosts San Diego in Major League Soccer

Match on September 27, 2026, 2:30 AM at Q2 Stadium

A clash between close neighbors: 11th-placed San Diego with 31 points against 12th-placed Austin with 30 points

A very tight MLS encounter is expected

近期状态

Austin's form shows improvement with WDDWD

The home team achieved 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 matches

San Diego has a weaker record of WLLLD

The visitors secured 1 win, 1 draw, and suffered 3 defeats in their last 5 games

统计数据

Austin scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 1.69 goals per game this season

At home, their defense is more stable, conceding only 0.92 goals per game

San Diego scores an average of 1.69 goals per game and also concedes 1.69 goals

On the road, San Diego concedes a high average of 2.86 goals per game

历史交锋

There have been 3 head-to-head matches between the two teams so far

San Diego leads the historical record with 2 wins compared to 1 win for Austin

The goal difference stands at 8-2 in favor of San Diego

The last encounter on May 14, 2026, ended in a dominant 5-0 victory for San Diego

关键球员

Facundo Torres shines for Austin with 4 goals and 6 assists, averaging a 7.19 rating

Christian Ramirez has scored 7 season goals for the home team

Anders Dreyer is the key player for the visitors with 11 goals and 10 assists and a 7.64 rating

Marcus Ingvartsen also contributed 11 goals this season for San Diego

门将

Damian Las is in goal for Austin with a 7.64 rating

Duran Ferree guards the goal for San Diego with an average rating of 6.83 in 15 appearances

影响因素

The home advantage is reflected in Austin's stable home record of just 12 goals conceded in 13 home games

At Q2 Stadium, matches average 2.6 goals per game with a 100% BTTS rate in the last 5 matches

The match is played on natural grass

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