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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers - Dallas

07/23/2026, 02:30 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Portland Timbers
1.2
Total xG
2.8
Dallas
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
PTDAL

Portland Timbers

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.49倍)
-1.18
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.57
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.30
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.30
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第5位, 相差7位)
-0.09
Kristoffer Velde替补席 (4球, 1助攻)

Dallas

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.18
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.13
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第12位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Petar Musa替补席 (12球, 2助攻)
Ran Binyamin替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.81
+0.81
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

28%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Dallas' superior form: 4 wins from the last 5 matches compared to Portland's 2 wins
  • Away strength of Dallas: The visitors score an average of 2.0 goals and concede just 1.0 goal on the road
  • Historical advantage: Dallas dominated the last 4 encounters and remains unbeaten against Portland
风险因素
  • Surface disadvantage for Dallas: The visitors lost their only match on artificial turf 1-2
  • Painful absences for Dallas: Top scorer Petar Musa (12 goals) is unavailable
  • Portland's possession strength: The home side recently dominated with an average of 58% possession
概述

Portland Timbers host Dallas at Providence Park

Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 4:30 AM

Portland currently sits in 12th place with 17 points

Dallas occupies 5th place with 25 points

Dallas enters the match as the favorites

近期状态

Portland Timbers form: WDLLW

Dallas form: WWLWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Portland secured 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Dallas achieved 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

The visitors display a more stable run of form

统计数据

Portland scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.93 goals per game

At home, Portland averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded

Dallas averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per match

In away matches, Dallas shines with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 1.0 goal conceded

Both teams have 10 matches each with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Dallas dominated with 2 wins and 2 draws

Portland failed to win any of the direct encounters

The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on September 28, 2025

关键球员

Kevin Kelsy scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists in 15 matches

David Da Costa recorded 1 goal and 5 assists in 12 matches

Cole Bassett contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 11 matches

Logan Farrington is Dallas' top scorer with 6 goals and 2 assists

Santiago Moreno follows with 2 goals and 1 assist in 10 matches

Kaick recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 15 matches

Not nominated for Portland: Kristoffer Velde (4 goals, 1 assist)

Not nominated for Dallas: Petar Musa (12 goals, 2 assists) and Ran Binyamin (0 goals, 2 assists)

门将

James Pantemis made 15 appearances and achieved 1 clean sheet

Daniel has zero appearances in the league season but played in 5 recent matches

Dallas has recorded 3 clean sheets in total this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at Providence Park

Portland holds a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses on artificial turf

Dallas lost their only match played on this surface this season

The historical stadium stats show an average of 4.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at Providence Park

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