比赛报告 →
St. Louis City – Vancouver Whitecaps0 : 0
模型为何这样判断
St. Louis City
1.79
总 xG
3.45
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.65
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | St. Louis City | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.6球) | +1.08 | +1.08 |
| 最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.6球) | +0.50 | |
| 状态上升 (3.6 vs 1.9 赛季平均) | +0.50 | |
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍) | +0.35 | |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球) | −0.26 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球) | −0.14 | |
| 状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.3 赛季平均) | −0.14 | |
| T. Müller未进大名单 (9球, 6助攻) | ||
| 16%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.8球 vs 总体2.3球) | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: St. Louis City are scoring more recently (3.6 goals) than their season average (1.9) with a calculated 40% home win probability
- Tactical metric: St. Louis City averaged 6.8 shots on target in recent matches
- Form momentum: St. Louis City won 4 consecutive matches while Vancouver won 1 of their last 5
风险
- Key absence: T. Müller is missing for the visitors leaving 82% of active goal production available
- Defensive vulnerability: Vancouver Whitecaps averaged 1.8 goals conceded in recent matches
全部概率
赛果
St. Louis City40%
平局25%
Vancouver Whitecaps35%
进球
大于 1.587%
小于 1.513%
大于 2.567%
小于 2.533%
大于 3.545%
小于 3.555%
双重机会
St. Louis City或平局65%
Vancouver Whitecaps或平局60%
非平局75%
双方均进球
是69%
否31%
最可能的比分
1:1
11%
2:1
8%
1:2
8%
2:2
7%
2:0
5%
0:0
最终比分
首发阵容
St. Louis City 3-4-3 · Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
St. Louis City
- 1 R. Bürki
- 21 D. Polvara
- 32 T. Baumgartl
- 27 F. Fol
- 6 C. Wallem
- 8 C. Durkin
- 24 D. Edelman
- 14 T. Totland
- 19 C. Holse
- 9 R. Navarro Leal
- 23 A. Măţan
Vancouver Whitecaps
- 1 Y. Takaoka
- 18 ?. Vidal
- 2 M. Laborda Malseñido
- 6 R. Priso-Mbongue
- 28 T. Johnson
- 8 O. Larraz
- 20 A. Cubas
- 11 E. Sabbi
- 25 R. Gauld
- 77 Y. Diaby
- 24 B. White
替补
- 42 D. Downs
- 5 L. MacNaughton
- 11 S. Becher
- 20 R. Cardoso dos Santos
- 28 M. Perez
- 39 B. Lundt
- 77 S. Jeong
- 99 J. Orozco
- 7 T. Ostrák
- 7 C. Sabaly
- 70 R. Muati Modesto
- 19 R. Elloumi
- 29 M. Gherasimencov
- 32 I. Boehmer
- 41 N. Djordjevic
- 14 B. Caicedo Quiñonez
- 4 R. Veselinović
- 23 A. Cvetković
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