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Chicago Fire – Philadelphia Union1 : 3
模型为何这样判断
Chicago Fire
1.86
总 xG
3.52
Philadelphia Union
1.66
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Chicago Fire | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.52倍) | +0.61 | |
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.1球) | +0.56 | +0.56 |
| 最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均4球) | +0.56 | |
| 状态上升 (4 vs 2.2 赛季平均) | +0.56 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | −0.15 | |
| 状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均) | −0.15 | |
| Philip Zinckernagel替补席 (6球, 9助攻) | ||
| Leonardo Barroso替补席 (0球, 2助攻) | ||
| Indiana Vassilev替补席 (4球, 5助攻) | ||
| Danley Jean Jacques替补席 (4球, 2助攻) |
关键因素
- Philadelphia Union averaged 4.0 goals per match in recent games compared to their 2.15 season average
- The model calculates a 42% home win probability for Chicago Fire
- Milan Iloski scored 6 goals in his last 5 matches for Philadelphia Union
风险
- Philadelphia Union concede an average of 1.94 goals per away game
- Chicago Fire averaged 1.4 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.89
全部概率
赛果
Chicago Fire42%
平局24%
Philadelphia Union34%
进球
大于 1.588%
小于 1.512%
大于 2.568%
小于 2.532%
大于 3.547%
小于 3.553%
双重机会
Chicago Fire或平局66%
Philadelphia Union或平局58%
非平局76%
双方均进球
是70%
否30%
最可能的比分
2:1
9%
1:2
8%
2:2
7%
3:1
5%
3:2
4%
1:3
最终比分
首发阵容
Chicago Fire 4-4-2 · Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Chicago Fire
- 1 C. Brady
- 24 R. Dean
- 3 J. Elliott
- 4 M. Mbokazi
- 32 N. Allen
- 18 J. Gomez
- 6 A. Salétros
- 22 M. Pineda
- 19 J. Bamba
- 9 R. Lewandowski
- 7 M. Haile-Selassie
Philadelphia Union
- 18 A. Blake
- 39 F. Westfield
- 44 N. Pierre
- 26 N. Harriel
- 27 K. Wagner
- 6 C. Sullivan
- 8 J. Bueno Añez
- 4 J. Lukić
- 33 Q. Sullivan
- 10 M. Iloski
- 9 B. Damiani
替补
- 21 A. Hanche-Olsen
- 2 L. Caetano Barroso
- 11 P. Zinckernagel
- 12 P. Dithejane
- 35 S. Oregel Jr.
- 44 J. Cohen
- 29 D. Poręba
- 15 A. Gutman
- 25 J. Gal
- 5 J. Sery
- 2 G. Martínez Turner
- 11 A. Bedoya
- 14 J. Rafanello
- 19 I. Vassilev
- 21 D. Jean Jacques
- 23 E. Alladoh
- 76 A. Rick
- 16 B. Bender
- 51 M. Jakupovic
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