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Major League Soccer

Inter Miami - San Diego

09/20/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Inter Miami
1.6
Total xG
2.7
San Diego
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
IMSD

Inter Miami

排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.02
Telasco Segovia替补席 (3球, 8助攻)
Ian Fray未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)

San Diego

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.29
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.02
Onni Valakari替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
Gabriel Pirani未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

28%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

56%

否

44%

关键因素
  • Mathematical edge: The model calculates a 46% probability for a home win and expects 1.58 goals for Inter Miami
  • Offensive dominance: Inter Miami averaged 5.8 shots on target per game recently and scores 2.44 goals per season match
  • High-scoring stadium: Chase Stadium averaged 4.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches with a 100% BTTS rate
风险因素
  • Away defense struggles: San Diego concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away match this season
  • Defensive vulnerability: Inter Miami has already conceded an average of 1.84 goals per game this season
  • San Diego negative trend: The visitors arrive with a form of WWLLL after three consecutive defeats
概述

Inter Miami hosts San Diego at the Chase Stadium

Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 11:00 PM

Inter Miami occupies 3rd place with 45 points

San Diego arrives in 10th place with 30 points

近期状态

Inter Miami enters with a form of LWDDD

The hosts recorded three consecutive draws recently

San Diego holds a form of WWLLL

The visitors suffered three consecutive defeats in their last matches

统计数据

Inter Miami scores an average of 2.44 goals per game

The hosts concede an average of 1.84 goals

San Diego averages 1.68 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded

Inter Miami has seen 19 matches with over 2.5 goals this season

关键球员

Lionel Messi has recorded 19 goals and 12 assists this season

Luis Suárez scored 12 goals so far

Anders Dreyer contributed 9 goals and 10 assists for San Diego

门将

Dayne St. Clair starts in goal for the hosts with 4 clean sheets

CJ dos Santos features in goal for the visitors with 7 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Chase Stadium

In the last 5 matches at this venue, the average was 4.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in all of these 5 games

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