比赛报告 →
Nashville SC – Cincinnati4 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Nashville SC
1.72
总 xG
3.02
Cincinnati
1.30
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Nashville SC | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.69 | +0.69 |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球) | −0.16 | |
| 状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.3 赛季平均) | −0.16 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球) | −0.08 | |
| Kévin Denkey未进大名单 (11球, 3助攻) | ||
| Pavel Bucha未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻) | ||
| 19%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体2.3球) | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Nashville concedes only 0.75 goals on average at home, while Cincinnati concedes an average of 3.25 goals away from home
- Cincinnati recently averaged a strong 6.8 shots on target in recent matches but must do without Kévin Denkey and Pavel Bucha
- The calculated model prediction favors the league leaders Nashville SC with a 46% win probability
风险
- Cincinnati concedes an average of 3.25 goals per away match according to seasonal statistics
- Nashville's recent goal production is stalling at an average of 2.0 compared to their season average of 2.3
全部概率
赛果
Nashville SC46%
平局26%
Cincinnati28%
进球
大于 1.582%
小于 1.518%
大于 2.558%
小于 2.542%
大于 3.536%
小于 3.564%
双重机会
Nashville SC或平局72%
Cincinnati或平局54%
非平局74%
双方均进球
是61%
否39%
最可能的比分
1:1
12%
2:1
9%
2:0
7%
1:2
7%
2:2
6%
4:0
最终比分
首发阵容
Nashville SC 4-4-2 · Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
Nashville SC
- 99 B. Schwake
- 31 A. Najar Rodríguez
- 4 J. Palacios Murillo
- 3 M. Woledzi
- 27 R. Vanarthur Baker-Whiting
- 7 C. Espinoza
- 8 P. Yazbek
- 20 E. Tagseth
- 11 E. Saad
- 10 H. Mukhtar
- 9 S. Surridge
Cincinnati
- 18 R. Celentano
- 11 S. Gidi
- 21 M. Miazga
- 12 M. Robinson
- 20 P. Bucha
- 5 O. Nwobodo
- 22 G. Valenzuela
- 66 E. Echenique Peña
- 17 K. Mboma Dem
- 9 A. Denkey
- 10 E. da Silva Ferreira
替补
- 1 J. Willis
- 2 D. Lovitz
- 5 J. Maher
- 6 B. Acosta Ramos
- 16 M. Corcoran
- 19 A. Muyl
- 22 J. Bauer
- 37 A. Qasem
- 14 S. Mohammed
- 2 A. Powell
- 4 N. Hagglund
- 13 E. Louro
- 15 T. Hadebe
- 16 T. Barlow
- 24 K. Smith
- 27 B. Anunga
- 29 B. Ramírez León
- 99 A. Jabbari
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