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Major League Soccer

New York RB - Charlotte

07/25/2026, 10:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
New York RB
1.6
Total xG
2.9
Charlotte
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
NYRCHA

New York RB

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.53
防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.28
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11

Charlotte

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.19
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.04
Idan Toklomati替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Wilfried Zaha未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
David Schnegg未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.80
+0.80
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

27%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Goal threat rising: New York RB currently scores more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.6)
  • Tactical metrics: Charlotte showed offensive strength in recent matches, averaging 5.2 shots on target
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 43% probability for a home win
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Charlotte has only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Away vulnerability: Charlotte concedes an average of 3.5 goals per away game
  • Restricted data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

New York RB host Charlotte at the Sports Illustrated Stadium

Major League Soccer match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM

A direct table clash between the 8th and 7th positions

Both teams currently hold 22 points

近期状态

New York RB shows the form WWDWL

They recently recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Charlotte travels with the form DLWWD

The visitors recently achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

New York RB scores an average of 1.63 goals and concedes 2.19 goals

Both teams scored in 12 out of 16 matches

Charlotte scores an average of 1.63 goals and concedes 1.56 goals

In away games, Charlotte concedes an average of 3.5 goals

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches

Both teams have secured 2 wins each, with 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 9:11 from New York RB's perspective

The last encounter on March 21, 2026, ended 6:1 in favor of Charlotte

关键球员

Julian Hall with 9 goals and 3 assists this season

Jorge Ruvalcaba has contributed 7 goals so far

Cade Cowell records 2 goals and 4 assists

Pep Biel shines with 7 goals and 5 assists

Kerwin Vargas has scored 3 goals and provided 3 assists

Liel Abada registers 1 goal and 2 assists

门将

Ethan Horvath guards the goal for the hosts, securing 1 clean sheet in 16 appearances

Kristijan Kahlina is in goal for the visitors, keeping 2 clean sheets in 16 appearances

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Sports Illustrated Stadium

The venue history shows an average of 3.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 historical matches at this stadium

No weather data is available

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