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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC

05/02/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Philadelphia Union
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Nashville SC
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
PUNS

Philadelphia Union

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-1.18
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.68
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.20
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.15
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
11%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1球)

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.50
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.09
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.04
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
+0.03
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
-0.01
Hany Mukhtar替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Cristian Espinoza替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Andy Nájar替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
65%进球产出缺失 (仅44%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体2.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

29%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Critical absence: Nashville SC must do without Hany Mukhtar, Cristian Espinoza, and Andy Nájar, resulting in only 45% of the usual starting XI goal threat being available
  • Form and league position: Nashville SC (1st place) is in excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 games, while Philadelphia Union (15th place) managed only 1 win in the same period
  • Home team's defensive weakness: Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.5 goals per home game
概述

Philadelphia Union host Nashville SC in Major League Soccer on May 2, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Philadelphia Union currently sit in 15th place with 5 points

Nashville SC lead the table in 1st place with 22 points

The match is crucial for Nashville's top ambitions and Philadelphia's fight to catch up

近期状态

Philadelphia Union's form in the last 5 games is LWDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The last match resulted in a 0-2 away loss against Columbus Crew

Nashville SC shows form WLWWW in their last 5 games

This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss

The team has won its last 3 consecutive games, including a 4-2 home win against Charlotte

统计数据

Philadelphia Union averages 0.9 goals scored per game and concedes 1.7 goals this season

At home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 6 of their matches, and they kept 1 clean sheet

Nashville SC boasts an average of 2.33 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Nashville averages 2.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0 goal

Nashville achieved 4 clean sheets and saw over 2.5 goals in 5 matches

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia Union secured 2 wins and Nashville SC also won 2 times

The goal difference is 6:5 in favor of Philadelphia Union

The last encounter on July 6, 2025, ended with a 0-1 away win for Philadelphia Union

The head-to-head record is even

关键球员

For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski is important with 2 goals and 1 assist, holding an average rating of 6.93

Danley Jean Jacques scored 2 goals and Nathan Harriel 1 goal with a rating of 7.02

For Nashville SC, Patrick Yazbek (1 goal, 3 assists) stands out with a rating of 7.11, as does Warren Madrigal (2 goals, 2 assists) with a rating of 7.05

Ahmed Qasem contributed 1 goal and 1 assist

门将

Andre Blake (Philadelphia Union) kept 1 clean sheet this season

Brian Schwake (Nashville SC) achieved 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Philadelphia Union averages 1.0 home goal scored per game and concedes 2.5 goals at home

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