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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - Inter Miami

07/25/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
CF Montréal
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Inter Miami
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
CMIM

CF Montréal

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-1.00
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.47
防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.22
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第2位, 相差11位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.08
Wikelman José Carmona Torres未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)

Inter Miami

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.61
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均4球)
+0.36
状态上升 (4 vs 2.8 赛季平均)
+0.36
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
-0.26
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.19
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第13位, 相差11位)
+0.07
Lionel Messi 未进大名单 (12球, 8助攻)
Rodrigo De Paul未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.80
+0.80
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

29%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Key absences for the visitors: Inter Miami are without Lionel Messi and Rodrigo De Paul, reducing their offensive power
  • Huge form gap: Inter Miami travel with 5 consecutive wins, while Montréal are winless in their last 5 games
  • Strong offensive statistics: Inter Miami averaged 7.8 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Tight schedule: CF Montréal enter this demanding fixture with only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Defensive instability: Both teams concede an average of nearly two goals per game this season
概述

CF Montréal host Inter Miami at Stade Saputo

MLS match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM

Inter Miami sit in 2nd place with 34 points

CF Montréal occupy 13th place with 15 points

近期状态

CF Montréal enter with a form of DLDDL

The hosts have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

Inter Miami boast a perfect form of WWWWW

The visitors have won all of their last 5 matches

统计数据

Inter Miami average 2.63 goals scored per game

CF Montréal concede an average of 2.00 goals per match

Montréal score 1.43 goals per game on average at home

Miami score 2.56 goals per game on their travels

历史交锋

There have been 4 direct encounters in total

Inter Miami lead with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Montréal

The last match ended in a 4-1 victory for Inter Miami on July 5, 2025

关键球员

Prince Owusu has scored 9 goals this season

Matty Longstaff contributed 3 assists so far

Luis Suárez shines for Inter Miami with 8 goals this season

门将

Sébastian Breza starts in goal for Montréal with 1 appearance this season

Rocco Ríos Novo protects the goal for Inter Miami

Montréal registered 4 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Stade Saputo

Historical venue stats show an average of 2.0 goals per game

Montréal concede only 1.0 goal per game at home on average

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