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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United - Atlanta United

08/20/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Minnesota United
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Atlanta United
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
MUAU

Minnesota United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.37
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.33
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.14
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.05
31%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球)

Atlanta United

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.07

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

27%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

73%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Tactical offensive: Minnesota United averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Away struggles: Atlanta United concede an average of 2.71 goals when playing away from home
  • Model prediction: The mathematical system favors the hosts with a 51% home win probability
风险因素
  • Hosts winless run: Minnesota United have failed to win any of their last 5 fixtures
  • Stagnant offense: Minnesota's recent scoring rate of 1.0 is below their season average of 1.2
  • Atlanta attacking upgrade: The visitors are scoring more frequently now (1.4) compared to their season average (1.2)
概述

Minnesota United host Atlanta United

Major League Soccer fixture on August 20, 2026, 12:30 AM at Allianz Field

9th-placed hosts face the 15th-placed visitors

Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the standings

近期状态

Minnesota United show a form of DLDDD with 4 draws and 1 loss

Atlanta United enter with a form of LDLLW, featuring 1 win and 3 defeats

Minnesota are winless in their last 5 games, whereas Atlanta won their most recent match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Minnesota United average 1.11 goals scored and 1.37 goals conceded per match

Atlanta United also score 1.11 goals on average but concede a high 2.71 goals per away game

The visitors are yet to record a clean sheet away from home this season

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

Minnesota United won that single encounter with a 2:1 scoreline

The historical advantage lies slightly with the home side

关键球员

Midfielder Joaquín Pereyra stands out for the hosts with a 7.43 season rating, 2 goals, and 6 assists

Attacker Tomás Chancalay has contributed 2 goals and 4 assists

Atlanta rely on Miguel Almirón, who boasts a strong 7.45 average rating and 3 goals

门将

Drake Callender guards the net for Minnesota with a seasonal average rating of 6.91

Lucas Hoyos is in goal for Atlanta with a rating of 6.72

Minnesota have recorded 5 clean sheets this season compared to only 1 for Atlanta

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Allianz Field

Minnesota United show defensive solidity at home, conceding only 1.00 goals per game

Home advantage could be key given Atlanta's poor away record

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