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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United - Orlando City

08/30/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 3
预期进球
Minnesota United
1.9
Total xG
3.1
Orlando City
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%
xG 分解
MUOC

Minnesota United

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.30
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
+0.18
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.05
Tomás Chancalay替补席 (2球, 4助攻)

Orlando City

防守不足 (场均失2.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+1.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.07
Adrián Marín未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Tiago替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

25%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

75%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Vulnerable away defense: Orlando City concedes an average of 3.78 goals per match when playing on the road
  • Improving attacking form: Minnesota United is scoring 2.0 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Strong mathematical prediction: The model projects a home win with a 53% probability and 1.90 expected home goals
风险因素
  • Potent away attack: Orlando City scores a respectable average of 1.67 goals per away match
  • Squad depth issues for Orlando: Missing Adrián Marín and Tiago reduces the available starting lineup strength to 87%
概述

Minnesota United hosts Orlando City at Allianz Field

Major League Soccer match on August 30, 2026, 12:30 AM

Mid-table clash between the 10th and 11th positions

近期状态

Minnesota United enters with a form of DDDLW

Orlando City displays a form of WLDLW

Both sides won their most recent league fixture

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Minnesota United averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.38 conceded

At home, Minnesota recorded 8 goals scored and 8 conceded in 6 matches

Orlando City averages 1.62 goals scored and 2.43 conceded

On the road, Orlando City concedes an average of 3.78 goals per match

历史交锋

There has been 1 historical head-to-head encounter

The last match finished in a 3-2 victory for Minnesota United

关键球员

Kelvin Yeboah leads Minnesota with 10 goals scored

Joaquín Pereyra excels with 3 goals, 7 assists, and a 7.47 average rating

Anthony Markanich Jr. has contributed 5 goals and 3 assists from defense

Antoine Griezmann leads Orlando with 3 goals, 2 assists, and a 7.71 rating

Justin Ellis provides creative threat with 5 assists and a 7.11 rating

Eduard Atuesta controls the midfield with 3 assists and a 6.75 rating

门将

Drake Callender has 5 clean sheets with a 6.90 average rating

Maxime Crépau has registered 2 clean sheets with a 6.79 average rating

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Allianz Field

The venue averages 1.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 games played at this stadium

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