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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire - Portland Timbers

08/16/2026, 10:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Chicago Fire
2.1
Total xG
3.3
Portland Timbers
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CFPT

Chicago Fire

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.29
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.13
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.07
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.06
Jonathan Bamba替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

Portland Timbers

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.17
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.09
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.02
Ariel Lassiter替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

23%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

77%

双方进球

是

63%

否

37%

关键因素
  • Home strength vs away weakness: Chicago concede 1.0 goals on average at home, while Portland concede 2.57 goals per away game
  • Tactical offensive power: Portland averaged 6.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Goal probability: The model calculates a 64% probability for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
  • Portland currently score more goals (2.4) than their season average (1.8)
  • Soldier Field matches are highly high-scoring with a 100% BTTS rate in the analysed games
  • Jonathan Bamba is not nominated in Chicago Fire's squad
概述

Chicago Fire (4th place, 29 points) host Portland Timbers (11th place, 24 points)

Major League Soccer match on August 16, 2026, 11:00 PM

The hosts aim to build on their strong home record at Soldier Field

近期状态

Chicago Fire in stable form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches (WWLLW)

Most recent match ended in a 2-1 home victory against Charlotte

Portland Timbers show a positive trend (LWDWW) with 3 wins and 2 consecutive victories lately

统计数据

Chicago Fire average 1.88 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per match

At home, Chicago concede only 1.0 goals on average

Portland Timbers are defensively vulnerable away, conceding 2.57 goals per game

关键球员

Philip Zinckernagel impresses with 5 goals and 8 assists this season

Robert Lewandowski has already contributed 2 goals in 3 appearances

For Portland, Kevin Kelsy is in top form with 9 goals this season

门将

Chris Brady started 17 matches in goal, achieving 6 clean sheets

James Pantemis has recorded only 1 clean sheet in 18 appearances

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Soldier Field

Venue stats indicate high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals per match

Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 analysed matches at this venue

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