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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - Cincinnati

09/20/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Cincinnati
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
HDCIN

Houston Dynamo

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.60
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.54
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
+0.06
全员可用

Cincinnati

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.55
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.29
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.29
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第2位, 相差8位)
-0.09
A. Chirilă替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

29%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

71%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Cincinnati's highly vulnerable away defense conceding an average of 4.38 goals per match
  • Houston Dynamo's strong home defense with only 0.67 goals conceded per game
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win with a probability of 47%
风险因素
  • Both teams currently show a negative form trend based on recent matches
  • Cincinnati's attack is stalling with only 1.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.17
  • Limited historical data due to a lack of previous head-to-head records
概述

Houston Dynamo (2nd place, 43 points) host Cincinnati (10th place, 32 points)

Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 2:30 AM at the Shell Energy Stadium

An important clash for the league standings

近期状态

Houston Dynamo form is LDDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses recently

Cincinnati travel with a form of WDLLD

The visitors also have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

统计数据

Houston Dynamo average 1.28 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per match

At home their defense is extremely solid with only 0.67 goals conceded per game

Cincinnati average a high 2.17 goals scored but concede 2.46 goals per match

On the road Cincinnati's defense is highly vulnerable conceding 4.38 goals per game

关键球员

Guilherme is Houston's top threat with 13 goals and 6 assists

Mateusz Bogusz contributes in midfield with 5 goals and 1 assist

Evander leads Cincinnati with 13 goals and 10 assists

门将

Jonathan Bond has recorded 11 clean sheets for Houston Dynamo

Roman Celentano has kept 2 clean sheets for Cincinnati so far this season

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Shell Energy Stadium

Venue statistics show an average of 1.8 goals per match

Houston's home advantage is highlighted by conceding only 8 goals in 12 home games

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