Major League Soccer
New York RB - DC United
04/22/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
New York RB
DC United
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
28%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Mathematical prediction: New York RB is slightly favored with a 43% win probability
- Offensive trend: New York RB is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals)
- DC United's offensive weakness: Only an average of 0.5 goals per game this season
风险因素
- DC United's tactical approach: Counter-oriented with an average of only 2.6 shots on target in the last 5 games
- New York RB's defense: Concedes an average of 2.38 goals per game this season
- High draw probability: The mathematical analysis predicts a draw with 28% probability
概述
New York RB (8th place, 11 points) host DC United (9th place, 8 points) at the Red Bull Arena. This Major League Soccer match will take place on April 22, 2026, 11:30 PM. The mathematical analysis slightly favors New York RB with a 43% probability of winning.
近期状态
New York RB's form in their last five matches is DLWDL, with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their last result was a loss. DC United's form in their last five matches is WDLLD, also with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their last game ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
New York RB scores an average of 1.5 goals per game and concedes 2.38 goals. At home, they average 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded. DC United averages 0.5 goals scored per game and concedes 1.13 goals. Away from home, DC United also scores 0.5 goals and concedes 0.75 goals. The Red Bull Arena sees an average of 3.8 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80%.
历史交锋
In four head-to-head matches, New York RB secured two wins, DC United one win, and there was one draw. New York RB scored a total of 9 goals compared to DC United's 5 goals. The last encounter on May 24, 2025, saw New York RB win away with a 2-0 scoreline. New York RB has been the more dominant side in recent meetings.
关键球员
For New York RB, Julian Hall (5 goals, 2 assists), Adri Mehmeti (1 goal, 2 assists), and Emil Forsberg (1 goal, 1 assist) stand out. Julian Hall shows a slightly declining form trend. For DC United, Tai Baribo (3 goals) and Matti Peltola (1 goal) are key scorers, both with a declining form trend. Peglow has contributed 1 assist.
门将
New York RB's goalkeeper, Ethan Horvath, has kept one clean sheet this season. Sean Johnson of DC United, on the other hand, has recorded three clean sheets this season.
影响因素
New York RB scores an average of 1.67 goals at home and concedes 1.67 goals. DC United, however, only scores an average of 0.5 goals away and concedes 0.75 goals. The Red Bull Arena is known for high-scoring games with an average of 3.8 goals per match, with both teams scoring in 80% of games and over 2.5 goals occurring in 80%. The playing surface is grass.