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Major League Soccer

Orlando City - Houston Dynamo

04/18/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Orlando City
1.6
Total xG
3.0
Houston Dynamo
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
OCHD

Orlando City

防守不足 (场均失3.4球 vs 联赛平均2球)
+1.47
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.76
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.37
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.08
Marco Pašalić替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
34%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体0.9球)

Houston Dynamo

防守实力 (场均失2.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+1.47
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.78
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.02
Jack McGlynn 未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

27%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis sees a home win with 40% probability
  • Form crisis: Houston Dynamo recently lost three consecutive games, the longest negative streak of both teams
  • Offensive weakness: Orlando City's goal production is stagnant with an average of 0.6 goals in recent games, while Houston Dynamo scores consistently (~1.6 goals per game)
风险因素
  • Limited offensive data for Orlando City: Marco Pašalić (2G/0A) is not in the lineup
  • Orlando City's low home goal production: Only 0.83 home goals per game
  • Houston Dynamo's high away goals conceded: An average of 3.33 goals conceded per away game
概述

Orlando City (14th place, 4 points) host Houston Dynamo (14th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer

The match will take place on April 18, 2026, 11:30 PM

Both teams are at the bottom of the table and are looking to improve their standing

近期状态

Orlando City's form is LWLLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a 1-1 away draw against Columbus Crew

Houston Dynamo shows a form of LWLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses) in their last 5 games

The visitors lost their last away match 2-6 against Colorado Rapids and have three consecutive losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Orlando City scored an average of 0.86 goals per game and conceded 3.43 goals per game this season

At home, these values are 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per home game

Houston Dynamo averages 1.67 goals scored and 2.67 goals conceded per game

Away from home, they scored 1.67 goals and conceded 3.33 goals per away game

Orlando City had BTTS in 4 out of 7 games, Houston Dynamo in 4 out of 6 games

For Orlando City, 6 out of 7 games ended with over 2.5 goals, for Houston Dynamo 4 out of 6 games

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches between these teams are listed in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda (2 goals, 0 assists, AvgRating 7.04), Tiago (1 goal, 1 assist, AvgRating 6.76) and Iván Angulo (0 goals, 2 assists, AvgRating 6.73) are key players

Martín Ojeda recorded 1 goal and 0 assists in the last 5 games

Tiago contributed 0 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Iván Angulo provided 0 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme (5 goals, 4 assists, AvgRating 8.54), Mateusz Bogusz (1 goal, 1 assist, AvgRating 6.96) and Lawrence Ennali (2 goals, 0 assists, AvgRating 6.72) stand out

Guilherme scored 3 goals and 4 assists in the last 5 games

Mateusz Bogusz achieved 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Lawrence Ennali scored 2 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games

门将

Orlando City's goalkeeper, Maxime Crépeau, has not kept a clean sheet in 6 season appearances

Jonathan Bond, Houston Dynamo's goalkeeper, also has no clean sheets in 6 season appearances

影响因素

Orlando City scores an average of 0.83 home goals and concedes 1.17 home goals

Houston Dynamo scores 1.67 goals and concedes 3.33 goals per away game

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