比赛报告 →
New York RB – Philadelphia Union1 : 3
模型为何这样判断
New York RB
1.84
总 xG
3.55
Philadelphia Union
1.71
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | New York RB | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.69 | +0.69 |
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍) | +0.54 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球) | −0.14 | |
| 状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均) | −0.14 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球) | +0.11 | |
| 状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均) | +0.11 | |
| Mijahir Jiménez替补席 (2球, 0助攻) | ||
| 全员可用 |
关键因素
- Form gap: Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in 5 matches while New York RB struggle
- Offensive trend: Philadelphia Union are currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.6
- Head-to-head record: Philadelphia Union won 3 of the last 5 direct duels against New York RB
风险
- Away defensive struggles: Philadelphia Union concede an average of 2.08 goals per away game
- Defensive vulnerability: New York RB concede 2.05 goals per game on average this season and have kept only 1 clean sheet
全部概率
赛果
New York RB40%
平局24%
Philadelphia Union35%
进球
大于 1.588%
小于 1.512%
大于 2.569%
小于 2.531%
大于 3.547%
小于 3.553%
双重机会
New York RB或平局65%
Philadelphia Union或平局60%
非平局76%
双方均进球
是70%
否30%
最可能的比分
2:1
8%
1:2
8%
2:2
7%
3:1
5%
1:3
4%
首发阵容
New York RB 4-2-3-1 · Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
New York RB
- 34 E. Horvath
- 12 D. Nealis
- 2 J. Che
- 14 J. Bazán Medina
- 56 M. Dos Santos
- 48 R. Donkor
- 15 A. Mehmeti
- 7 C. Cowell
- 10 E. Forsberg
- 11 J. Ruvalcaba
- 16 J. Hall
Philadelphia Union
- 18 A. Blake
- 39 F. Westfield
- 44 N. Pierre
- 26 N. Harriel
- 27 K. Wagner
- 6 C. Sullivan
- 21 D. Jean Jacques
- 4 J. Lukić
- 19 I. Vassilev
- 10 M. Iloski
- 9 B. Damiani
替补
- 3 J. Marshall-Rutty
- 5 O. Valencia Arauz
- 13 J. Choupo-Moting
- 77 J. McCarthy
- 26 T. Parker
- 37 M. Sofo
- 17 C. Harper
- 91 M. Jiménez Murillo
- 92 D. Nelich
- 5 J. Sery
- 2 G. Martínez Turner
- 8 J. Bueno Añez
- 14 J. Rafanello
- 23 E. Alladoh
- 28 A. Anello
- 76 A. Rick
- 16 B. Bender
- 33 Q. Sullivan
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