比赛报告 →
New York RB – San Diego4 : 1
模型为何这样判断
New York RB
1.61
总 xG
3.20
San Diego
1.59
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | New York RB | San Diego |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.2球) | +0.73 | +0.73 |
| 最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球) | −0.27 | |
| 状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.3 赛季平均) | −0.24 | |
| 最近5场中3场零封 | −0.15 | |
| 防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球) | +0.12 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球) | −0.10 | |
| Julian Hall未进大名单 (10球, 3助攻) | ||
| Ronald Donkor未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻) | ||
| Adri Mehmeti未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻) | ||
| Onni Valakari未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻) | ||
| Elias Achouri未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻) | ||
| 主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.3球) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球) |
关键因素
- Balanced probability: Model calculations give New York RB 37% and San Diego 37% win chances
- High goal expectation: Both teams to score is calculated at 65%, with Over 2.5 goals at 62%
- Offensive power of San Diego: Anders Dreyer (11 goals, 11 assists) and Marcus Ingvartsen (12 goals) lead the visitors' attack
风险
- Away defensive weakness: San Diego concedes an average of 2.56 goals per away match
- Goal slump for New York RB: The home team averaged only 0.5 goals per match in recent games
- High recent goals conceded: San Diego averaged 2.8 goals conceded in recent matches
全部概率
赛果
New York RB37%
平局26%
San Diego37%
进球
大于 1.584%
小于 1.516%
大于 2.562%
小于 2.538%
大于 3.540%
小于 3.560%
双重机会
New York RB或平局63%
San Diego或平局63%
非平局74%
双方均进球
是65%
否35%
最可能的比分
1:1
12%
2:1
8%
1:2
8%
2:2
7%
2:0
5%
4:1
最终比分
首发阵容
New York RB 4-3-3 · San Diego 4-3-3
New York RB
- 34 E. Horvath
- 12 D. Nealis
- 2 J. Che
- 14 J. Bazán Medina
- 59 D. Padelford
- 48 R. Donkor
- 15 A. Mehmeti
- 37 M. Sofo
- 11 J. Ruvalcaba
- 16 J. Hall
- 7 C. Cowell
San Diego
- 1 C. Dos Santos
- 33 O. Verhoeven
- 26 M. Duah
- 32 I. Murphy
- 5 K. Sargeant
- 20 A. Godoy
- 6 J. Tverskov
- 12 G. Cordeiro Pirani
- 10 A. Dreyer
- 7 M. Ingvartsen
- 99 M. Achouri
替补
- 3 J. Marshall-Rutty
- 6 R. Voloder
- 10 E. Forsberg
- 13 J. Choupo-Moting
- 56 M. Dos Santos
- 66 T. Rosborough
- 70 A. Rojas Maroto
- 77 J. McCarthy
- 8 D. Ruiz
- 26 T. Parker
- 80 N. Worth
- 60 S. Kone
- 45 C. Faello
- 94 C. Bakambu
- 8 O. Valakari
- 13 P. Sisniega Fink
- 14 B. Zamblé
- 15 P. Soma
- 17 O. Søe
- 18 D. Ferree
- 25 I. Pilcher
- 77 A. Mighten
- 90 A. Pellegrino
- 97 C. Mcvey
- 3 D. Þórhallsson
- 19 D. Vazquez
- 70 A. Alvarado Jr.
- 16 M. Alstrup
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