Major League Soccer
Inter Miami - Atlanta United
09/05/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.5
1.2
2:1
10%1:1
9%2:0
8%3:1
7%3:0
6%xG 分解
Inter Miami
Atlanta United
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
63%
平局
21%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
37%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Home strength and prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 63% home win probability and expects 2.34 goals for Inter Miami
- Dominant playstyle: Inter Miami averaged 56.8% possession and 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Squad impact: Atlanta United is missing the unselected Fafâ Picault (3 goals, 2 assists), lowering their starting lineup strength to 87%
风险因素
- Defensive instability: Inter Miami concedes an average of 1.86 goals per game this season
- Away struggles: Atlanta United concedes a heavy average of 2.22 goals per away match
概述
Inter Miami (2nd place, 42 points) host Atlanta United (13th place, 21 points) at Chase Stadium
MLS match on September 5, 2026, 11:30 PM
Clear favorites role for the home side
近期状态
Inter Miami form: DLDLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Atlanta United form: LWWWL
Inter Miami ended their recent winless run with a massive 7-1 home victory against CF Montréal
Atlanta United lost 0-2 to Charlotte in their last game after three consecutive wins
统计数据
Inter Miami average 2.55 goals scored and 1.86 goals conceded per match
Atlanta United average 1.14 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per game
Atlanta struggle heavily on the road, conceding an average of 2.22 goals per away game
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches
3 wins for Inter Miami, 2 wins for Atlanta United
The last encounter ended in a clear 4-0 home win for Inter Miami on October 11, 2025
关键球员
Lionel Messi with 17 goals and 10 assists this season
Luis Suárez has scored 11 goals and provided 4 assists
Germán Berterame stands at 7 goals and 4 assists
门将
Dayne St. Clair kept 4 clean sheets this season for Inter Miami
Lucas Hoyos recorded 1 clean sheet for Atlanta United
影响因素
Chase Stadium is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.6 total goals
All of the last 5 venue matches saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals
The match will be played on a grass surface