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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - Sporting KC

04/04/2026, 08:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
2.0
Total xG
2.9
Sporting KC
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
RSLSK

Real Salt Lake

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.55
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.18
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
+0.10
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第15位, 相差9位)
+0.08
Juan Manuel Sanabria替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Aiden Hezarkhani未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)

Sporting KC

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+1.09
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.21
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.09
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第6位, 相差9位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

24%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

76%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a home win at 61%
  • Real Salt Lake shows better current form with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 league games
  • Real Salt Lake dominates the head-to-head encounters with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 matches
风险因素
  • Sporting KC averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • Real Salt Lake has only 88% of their usual goal production available without Juan Manuel Sanabria and Aiden Hezarkhani
概述

Real Salt Lake (6th place, 10 points) hosts Sporting KC (15th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer on April 4, 2026, 10:30 PM

Real Salt Lake aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table

Sporting KC is battling relegation and urgently needs points

近期状态

Real Salt Lake's form across all competitions is LWWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a draw

Sporting KC shows the form LDLWL

They achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games

Their last result was a loss

统计数据

Real Salt Lake averages 1.8 goals scored per game and concedes 1.4 goals

In home games, Real Salt Lake averages 2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded

They have 0 clean sheets

Real Salt Lake had both teams score in 4 games and over 2.5 goals in 4 games

Sporting KC averages 1.0 goals scored per game and concedes 2.2 goals

In away games, Sporting KC averages 1 goal scored and 2 goals conceded

They have 0 clean sheets

Sporting KC had both teams score in 3 games and over 2.5 goals in 4 games

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Real Salt Lake dominated with 3 wins

Sporting KC has not won a single direct encounter, with 1 draw

Real Salt Lake scored a total of 8 goals, Sporting KC 5 goals

Real Salt Lake won the last meeting 2-1 on September 14, 2025

The recent record shows clear dominance for the home team

关键球员

For Real Salt Lake, Morgan Guilavogui (0 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.57 rating), Sergi Solans (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 7.12 rating), and Zavier Gozo (1 goal, 1 assist, avg 7.04 rating) are crucial

All three players show stable form

For Sporting KC, Dejan Joveljić (3 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.95 rating), Lasse Berg Johnsen (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 7.31 rating), and Manu García (0 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.2 rating) are important players

Joveljić and Johnsen show a declining form, while García is stable

门将

Real Salt Lake's goalkeeper, Rafael Cabral, has recorded 0 clean sheets in 5 appearances

Sporting KC's goalkeeper, John Pulskamp, has also recorded 0 clean sheets in 5 appearances

影响因素

Real Salt Lake averages 2 home goals scored and 1 home goal conceded

Sporting KC concedes an average of 2 away goals per game

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