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Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps - Portland Timbers

04/05/2026, 02:30 AM

3 : 2
预期进球
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.2
Total xG
3.1
Portland Timbers
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
VWPT

Vancouver Whitecaps

防守实力 (场均失0.4球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-1.55
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.11
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.06
Emmanuel Sabbi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)

Portland Timbers

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.43
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.12
Gage Guerra替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.61
+0.61
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

22%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

78%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Home Strength: Vancouver Whitecaps are offensively dominant with 2.5 goals scored on average and concede only 0.25 goals at home
  • Weak Away Defense: Portland Timbers concede an average of 5.0 goals per away game
  • Mathematical Prediction: The mathematical analysis projects a 65% home win for Vancouver
风险因素
  • Injuries on both teams may impact match performance
  • Vancouver Whitecaps are coming off a 0-1 loss, which ended their winning streak
概述

Vancouver Whitecaps (3rd place, 12 points) host Portland Timbers (14th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer

The match will take place on April 5, 2026, 4:30 AM

The Whitecaps aim to continue their strong season, while the Timbers try to escape the relegation zone

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Vancouver Whitecaps show strong form with WWWWL across all competitions

They achieved 4 wins and 0 draws with 1 loss

The last game ended in a 0-1 loss against SJ Earthquakes

Portland Timbers have weaker form with WLLLD across all competitions

They recorded 1 win and 1 draw with 3 losses

The Timbers' last game was a 1-1 draw against LA Galaxy

统计数据

Vancouver Whitecaps are offensively strong with an average of 2.8 goals per game and defensively solid with only 0.4 goals conceded per game

At home, they score an average of 2.5 goals and concede only 0.25 goals

Portland Timbers score an average of 1.4 goals per game and concede an average of 2.4 goals

Away from home, the Timbers have a weak defense, conceding an average of 5.0 goals per away game

For the Whitecaps, there were over 2.5 goals in 3 games and both teams scored in 1 game

For the Timbers, there were over 2.5 goals in 3 games and both teams scored in 4 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 direct encounters between the two teams, Vancouver Whitecaps dominate

They won 3 games, while there were 0 wins for Portland and 2 draws

The Whitecaps scored a total of 15 goals, the Timbers 4 goals

The last meeting on March 8, 2026, ended with a 4-1 victory for Vancouver Whitecaps

关键球员

For Vancouver Whitecaps, Brian White (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (2 goals, 3 assists), and Thomas Müller (2 goals) are key offensive players

For Portland Timbers, Kristoffer Velde (2 goals), Antony (1 goal, 1 assist), and Kevin Kelsy (1 assist) are the top performers

门将

Yohei Takaoka is the goalkeeper for Vancouver Whitecaps and recorded 3 clean sheets in 5 season appearances

James Pantemis is the goalkeeper for Portland Timbers and achieved 0 clean sheets in 5 season appearances

影响因素

Vancouver Whitecaps have a strong home advantage

They scored an average of 2.5 goals at home and conceded only 0.25 goals per home game

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