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Major League Soccer

New York City - St. Louis City

04/04/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
New York City
1.7
Total xG
2.7
St. Louis City
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
NYCSLC

New York City

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.78
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.77
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第13位, 相差11位)
+0.09
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
全员可用

St. Louis City

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.31
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第2位, 相差11位)
-0.13
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.06
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+0.02
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.56
+0.56
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

27%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

73%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • New York City is favored for a home win with a 51% probability
  • New York City shows a significantly stronger offense with 2.6 goals per game compared to St. Louis City's 0.8 goals per game
  • New York City is in better form with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches, compared to St. Louis City's 1 win and 1 draw
概述

New York City (2nd place, 10 points) hosts St. Louis City (13th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM. New York City aims to solidify its leading position in the table.

近期状态

New York City's form across all competitions is DWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss).

The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches.

Their last outing resulted in a loss.

St. Louis City's form across all competitions is DLLLW.

The team achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches.

Their last outing resulted in a win.

统计数据

New York City averages 2.6 goals scored per game and concedes 1.2 goals on average this season.

At home, New York City averages 2.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0 goals.

New York City has seen both teams score in 4 matches and over 2.5 goals in 4 matches.

St. Louis City averages 0.8 goals scored per game and concedes 1.4 goals on average this season.

St. Louis City has seen both teams score in 2 matches and over 2.5 goals in 1 match.

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these teams.

St. Louis City won the only encounter 2-0 on March 3, 2024.

New York City did not score any goals in this single match, while St. Louis City scored 2 goals.

关键球员

For New York City, Nicolás Fernández Mercau (5 goals, 0 assists), Maxi Moralez (1 goal, 4 assists), and Agustín Ojeda (2 goals, 1 assist) are key players.

Nicolás Fernández Mercau shows strong form with an average rating of 8.02.

For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel (2 goals, 0 assists), Chris Durkin (1 goal, 0 assists), and Simon Becher (1 goal, 1 assist) are the top performers.

Marcel Hartel stands out with an average rating of 7.70.

门将

New York City's goalkeeper, Matt Freese, has kept 1 clean sheet this season with an an average rating of 6.83.

St. Louis City's goalkeeper, Roman Bürki, has kept 0 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.74.

影响因素

New York City demonstrates strong offensive performance at home with an average of 2.5 goals scored and only 1.0 goal conceded.

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