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Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - San Diego

04/05/2026, 02:30 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.9
Total xG
3.1
San Diego
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
SESD

SJ Earthquakes

防守实力 (场均失0.2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-1.75
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
-0.23
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.16
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
主场表现强势 (场均2.5球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

San Diego

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.29
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.39倍)
-0.25
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Amahl Pellegrino替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.9球 vs 总体2.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.61
+0.61
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

25%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

75%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • SJ Earthquakes' defensive strength: The home team conceded only 1 goal in 5 league games, an average of 0.2 per match
  • San Diego's offense: The away team scores an average of 2.6 goals per game and presents a constant threat
  • Mathematical prediction: The pipeline analysis favors SJ Earthquakes with a home win probability of 52%
风险因素
  • San Diego's strong offense: The away team scores an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • San Diego's resilience: The away team managed to draw their last two games and is currently unbeaten
  • SJ Earthquakes' last home loss: The home team recently lost a home game 0-1 against Seattle Sounders
概述

SJ Earthquakes (4th place, 12 points) host San Diego (5th place, 11 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 5, 2026, 3:30 AM. Both teams are in the upper half of the table, vying for a strong position in the league.

近期状态

SJ Earthquakes show strong form with WWWLW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) in their last five games. Their last result was a win. San Diego is also in good shape with WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and has remained unbeaten in their last two matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes score an average of 1.4 goals per game and concede only 0.2 goals. At home, they average 1.25 goals scored and 0.25 goals conceded. San Diego is offensively strong with an average of 2.6 goals per game but concedes 1.0 goals. Away from home, they score 2.0 goals and concede 1.5 goals. SJ Earthquakes recorded 4 clean sheets, San Diego 3.

历史交锋

In the 2 previous head-to-head encounters, SJ Earthquakes and San Diego each secured one win, with no draws. The goal difference is even at 2:2. SJ Earthquakes won the last match 1:0 on September 28, 2025.

关键球员

For SJ Earthquakes, key players include Daniel Munie (2 goals, 0 assists), Ousseni Bouda (2 goals, 0 assists), and Preston Judd (2 goals, 0 assists). For San Diego, top performers are Marcus Ingvartsen (4 goals, 2 assists), Anders Dreyer (3 goals, 3 assists), and Onni Valakari (3 goals, 1 assist). Not nominated: Amahl Pellegrino (1G/1A).

门将

The goalkeeper for SJ Earthquakes, Daniel, has an average rating of 7.34. The team recorded 4 clean sheets this season. For San Diego, Duran Ferree is in goal with an average rating of 7.17. San Diego kept a clean sheet in 3 matches.

影响因素

SJ Earthquakes show defensive stability at home, conceding only an average of 0.25 home goals per game. San Diego scores an average of 2.0 goals per away game, but concedes 1.5 away goals.

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