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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - New York City

04/25/2026, 06:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
CF Montréal
1.7
Total xG
3.1
New York City
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
CMNYC

CF Montréal

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.17
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.09
Wikelman José Carmona Torres未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

New York City

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第13位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Hannes Wolf替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体2.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.74
+0.74
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

26%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • CF Montréal's improved attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals recently compared to 1.5 for the season
  • The historical home dominance of CF Montréal with 3 wins in 4 head-to-head matches against New York City
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 41% probability
风险因素
  • New York City has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • CF Montréal's high season average of 2.5 goals conceded per game
  • New York City's recent defensive struggles, with an average of 2.4 goals conceded in current form
概述

CF Montréal (13th place, 6 points) hosts New York City (7th place, 12 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 25, 2026, 6:30 PM. Montréal aims to close the gap to the mid-table, while New York City looks to defend its upper-half position.

近期状态

CF Montréal's form in the last 5 games is LLLLW, which corresponds to 1 win and 4 losses. Their last result was a win. New York City's form is LDLLD, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

CF Montréal averages 1.5 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 2.5 goals. At home, the average is 1.67 goals scored and 1 goal conceded. New York City averages 2.11 goals scored per game and concedes 1.67 goals. Away, they averaged 3 goals scored and conceded 4 goals, though in only one game. CF Montréal's 8 season games all featured over 2.5 goals. New York City's 6 of 9 games had over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in 4 of Montréal's games and 7 of New York City's games.

历史交锋

In the 4 previous head-to-head matches, CF Montréal has been dominant with 3 wins compared to 1 win for New York City. Montréal scored 4 goals and conceded 2. The last encounter was a 1:0 victory for CF Montréal on June 28, 2025. CF Montréal has been the more dominant team in recent meetings.

关键球员

For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu is a key player with 5 goals and 4 assists in 8 season appearances (average rating 7.35), his form is rising. Iván Jaime recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 7 season appearances (average rating 7.02), his form is stable. Matty Longstaff (8 season appearances) scored 1 goal and has an average rating of 6.8, his form is stable. For New York City, Nicolás Fernández Mercau scored 8 goals in 9 season appearances (average rating 7.98), his form is stable. Maxi Moralez has 1 goal and 6 assists in 9 appearances (average rating 7.48), his form is stable. Agustín Ojeda (9 season appearances) scored 3 goals and 2 assists (average rating 6.93), his form is stable.

门将

CF Montréal has Thomas Gillier in goal. New York City's goalkeeper is Matt Freese, who has an average rating of 6.84 in 9 season appearances. CF Montréal kept 1 clean sheet this season, New York City also 1 clean sheet.

影响因素

CF Montréal scored an average of 1.67 goals at home and conceded 1 goal. New York City conceded an average of 4 goals per away game in only one match. There is no information available regarding weather-related or venue-specific influences.

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