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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - Vancouver Whitecaps

08/30/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 3
预期进球
Sporting KC
1.0
Total xG
2.7
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
SKVW

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-1.03
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.16
Dejan Joveljić替补席 (8球, 1助攻)
Jake Davis未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1球)

Vancouver Whitecaps

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.41
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.34
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.23
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.11
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.07
Emmanuel Sabbi替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Cheikh Sabaly替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Jeevan Badwal替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

20%

平局

27%

客胜

54%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

46%

客胜或平局

80%

非平局

73%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Vancouver won all of the last 5 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 12:2
  • Tactical superiority: Vancouver averaged 5.4 shots on target per match with 62.4% possession in recent games
  • Defensive vulnerability: Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.43 goals per match and has kept 0 clean sheets this season
风险因素
  • Offensive struggles for the hosts: Sporting KC recently played counter-oriented football with an average of only 2.4 shots on target per match
  • Away defense variance: Vancouver concedes an average of 1.5 goals on the road compared to just 0.5 in home games
概述

Sporting KC (15th place, 15 points) host Vancouver Whitecaps (1st place, 40 points) at Children's Mercy Park

Major League Soccer match on August 30, 2026, 2:30 AM

A clear clash between the bottom of the table and the league leaders

Vancouver enters the match as the strong favorite

近期状态

Sporting KC is struggling in poor form with LLLDL

They suffered a defeat against Atlanta United in their last match

Vancouver Whitecaps are in better shape with DDWLW

The visitors secured a dominant win against Dallas recently

统计数据

Sporting KC scores an average of 0.95 goals and concedes 2.43 goals per match

The home side has kept 0 clean sheets this season

Vancouver Whitecaps average 2.25 goals scored and only 0.9 goals conceded

The visitors have already secured 8 clean sheets

历史交锋

Vancouver dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 5 wins

Sporting KC failed to win a single encounter

The goal difference stands at 2:12 in favor of Vancouver

Their last meeting ended in a 0:3 away victory for Vancouver

关键球员

Calvin Harris leads the home attack with 3 goals and 3 assists

Lasse Berg Johnsen anchors the midfield with an average rating of 6.92

Shapi Suleymanov contributed 1 goal and 1 assist so far

Not nominated for the hosts: Dejan Joveljić (8 goals, 1 assist) and Jake Davis (0 goals, 2 assists)

门将

Stefan Cleveland has kept 0 clean sheets for Sporting KC this season

Yohei Takaoka has secured 8 clean sheets for Vancouver Whitecaps

The statistical starting position favors the away goalkeeper

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at Children's Mercy Park

Venue history shows an average of 2.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 recent matches at this stadium

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