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Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps

05/10/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.8
Total xG
3.4
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
SEVW

SJ Earthquakes

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.27
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.67倍)
-0.43
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.30
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.25
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
+0.25
Timo Werner未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Niko Tsakiris未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Jack Skahan替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均3.2球 vs 总体2.4球)

Vancouver Whitecaps

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.69
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.21
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.33倍)
+0.09
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
-0.06
Thomas Müller替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Emmanuel Sabbi替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

25%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

75%

双方进球

67%

33%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: A home win for SJ Earthquakes is calculated with 41% probability, while a draw stands at 25%
  • Offensive Strength of Both Teams: SJ Earthquakes currently score more frequently (3.2 goals) than their season average (2.4 goals), while Vancouver Whitecaps score consistently (~2.5 goals per game)
  • Home Advantage SJ Earthquakes: The team averages 2.17 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.33 goals per game
概述

SJ Earthquakes (1st place, 28 points) host Vancouver Whitecaps (2nd place, 25 points) in Major League Soccer on May 10, 2026, 3:30 AM

This is a top-of-the-table clash between two leading teams, with the Earthquakes looking to extend their lead

近期状态

SJ Earthquakes show excellent form with "WWWWD" in their last five matches, equating to 4 wins and 1 draw

Their last game ended in a draw

Vancouver Whitecaps are also in superb condition with "WWWWD" from their last five fixtures, meaning 4 wins and 1 draw

Their most recent result was also a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes average 2.36 goals scored per game and concede 0.64 goals per game

At home, they are very strong with an average of 2.17 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded

Vancouver Whitecaps have a season average of 2.78 goals scored and 0.56 goals conceded per game

In away games (based on 1 match), they scored 4.0 goals and conceded 1.0 goals

SJ Earthquakes kept 5 clean sheets, and Vancouver Whitecaps also managed 5 clean sheets

For SJ Earthquakes, over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches, and for Vancouver Whitecaps, in 6 matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 direct Major League Soccer encounters, SJ Earthquakes secured 2 wins and Vancouver Whitecaps claimed 3 wins

SJ Earthquakes scored 4 goals in these matches, while Vancouver Whitecaps netted 9 goals

The most recent clash on March 22, 2026, resulted in a 1-0 victory for SJ Earthquakes

Vancouver Whitecaps have been the dominant team in recent head-to-head matchups

关键球员

For SJ Earthquakes, Preston Judd with 7 goals and 2 assists, and Ousseni Bouda with 5 goals and 1 assist, are key attacking players

Daniel Munie contributes to the team's performance with 2 goals and 1 assist

For Vancouver Whitecaps, Brian White is the top scorer with 8 goals

Sebastian Berhalter shines with 3 goals and 4 assists, while Mathías Laborda has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists

门将

Daniel is the goalkeeper for SJ Earthquakes and has kept 5 clean sheets this season

Yohei Takaoka guards the goal for Vancouver Whitecaps and also recorded 5 clean sheets

影响因素

SJ Earthquakes demonstrate strong home performance with an average of 2.17 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per game

Vancouver Whitecaps scored 4.0 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in their single away game of the season

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