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Major League Soccer

Minnesota United - Austin

05/10/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Minnesota United
2.2
Total xG
3.1
Austin
1.0
最可能的比分

2:0

10%

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
MUAUS

Minnesota United

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.55
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.32
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第13位, 相差8位)
+0.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.06
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

Austin

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.62
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.58
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.34
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第5位, 相差8位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
12%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

64%

平局

22%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

36%

非平局

78%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Prediction: The mathematical analysis shows a 64% home win probability for Minnesota United
  • Home strength vs. Away weakness: Minnesota United concedes only an average of 0.5 goals at home, while Austin concedes 3.0 goals away
  • Current form: Minnesota United is in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 games, while Austin has a mixed record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
风险因素
  • Austin concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • Austin's goal production is 81% available (activeGoalsShare), indicating a missing 19% of seasonal goal threat
概述

Minnesota United (5th place, 20 points) host Austin (13th place, 13 points) in Major League Soccer. The match will take place on May 10, 2026, 7:00 PM. Minnesota United aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table, while Austin seeks to move away from the lower regions.

近期状态

Minnesota United's current form across all competitions is WWWLW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). Their last result was a 3-2 away win against Columbus Crew. Austin's form across all competitions is LDLWW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Austin won their last match against St. Louis City 2-0. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Minnesota United scored an average of 1.27 goals per game this season and conceded 1.45 goals. Austin averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded per game. Minnesota kept 4 clean sheets, and Austin also recorded 4 clean sheets. In home games, Minnesota United scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0.5 goals. Austin conceded an average of 3.0 goals in away games and scored 1.6 goals. For Minnesota, over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches, and for Austin, in 7 matches. Both teams scored in 5 of Minnesota's matches and in 7 of Austin's matches. Minnesota United is currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.4). Austin is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.6).

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota United secured 2 wins, Austin achieved 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw. Minnesota United scored 8 goals, while Austin scored 5 goals. The last encounter on February 22, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw. Minnesota United has shown dominance in recent meetings.

关键球员

For Minnesota United, Kelvin Yeboah (7 goals), Tomás Chancalay (1 goal, 4 assists, rising form trend), and Anthony Markanich Jr. (3 goals, 2 assists, rising form trend) are crucial. For Austin, Facundo Torres (1 goal, 4 assists), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals, 1 assist, rising form trend), and Christian Ramirez (3 goals, 1 assist) stand out.

门将

Minnesota United's goalkeeper, Drake Callender , has played 11 games and kept 4 clean sheets. Brad Stuver , Austin's goalkeeper, also played 11 games and recorded 4 clean sheets.

影响因素

Minnesota United shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game. Austin, on the other hand, concedes an average of 3.0 goals away from home.

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