Major League Soccer
Charlotte - New York City
05/13/2026, 11:15 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.0
1.3
1:1
12%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Charlotte
New York City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
26%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Charlotte's strong home defense (0.88 goals conceded) meets New York City's weak away defense (2.5 goals conceded)
- Contrasting tactical approaches: Charlotte's recent counter-oriented play (45% possession) against New York City's ball-dominant style (60% possession)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 47% chance of a home win for Charlotte
风险因素
- New York City has had only 3 days since their last match, indicating potential fatigue
- New York City concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
概述
Charlotte (8th place, 15 points) hosts New York City (7th place, 15 points) in a Major League Soccer match. The match takes place on May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM. Both teams are tied on points in the standings and aim to improve their position
近期状态
Charlotte's form in the last five games is WLLLD
New York City's form in the last five games is LDLLW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Charlotte has achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches
New York City has achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches
统计数据
Charlotte scores an average of 1.67 goals per game and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season
At home, Charlotte's defense is stronger, conceding an average of 0.88 goals per game while scoring 1.75
9 out of 12 games saw over 2.5 goals
Both teams scored in 9 out of 12 games
Charlotte's goal production has slowed recently (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (1.8 goals)
New York City scores an average of 1.83 goals per game and concedes 1.5 goals per game this season
In away matches, New York City concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game while scoring 1.5 goals
7 out of 12 games saw over 2.5 goals
Both teams scored in 7 out of 12 games
New York City's goal production has also slowed recently (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.8 goals)
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, New York City leads with 3 wins
Charlotte has 1 win, and there was 1 draw
New York City scored 7 goals, while Charlotte scored 3 goals
The last direct encounter on April 18, 2026, saw Charlotte win 2:1 against New York City
New York City is considered recently dominant in the head-to-head record
关键球员
Charlotte's key players are Pep Biel, Idan Toklomati, and Wilfried Zaha
Pep Biel (Midfielder) has 6 goals and 4 assists this season with an average rating of 7.26
Idan Toklomati (Attacker) contributed 4 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 6.76
Wilfried Zaha (Attacker) has 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.04
New York City's key players are Nicolás Fernández Mercau, Maxi Moralez, and Hannes Wolf
Nicolás Fernández Mercau (Midfielder) has 8 goals and 2 assists this season with an average rating of 7.93
Maxi Moralez (Midfielder) contributed 1 goal and 6 assists with an average rating of 7.36
Hannes Wolf (Attacker) has 5 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.02
门将
Charlotte's goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina has 1 clean sheet in 12 appearances with an average rating of 7.13
New York City's goalkeeper Matt Freese has 2 clean sheets in 12 appearances with an average rating of 6.89
影响因素
Charlotte shows a home advantage, scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding only 0.88 goals in home matches
New York City shows a defensive weakness in away matches, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away game