Major League Soccer
Toronto - Atlanta United
04/25/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Toronto
Atlanta United
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
27%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
55%
否
46%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Toronto with 51%
- Toronto is unbeaten in their last 5 games (WWDDD), while Atlanta United has lost 4 of their last 5 matches (DLLLL)
- Toronto is currently scoring more often (Avg. 2.4 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.8 goals), while Atlanta United's goal production is stagnant (Avg. 0.5 goals recently vs. Avg. 0.9 goals season average)
风险因素
- Only 58% of Atlanta United's usual starting XI strength is available, with Emmanuel Latte Lath and Miguel Almirón missing
- Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could impact their physical performance
概述
Toronto (6th place, 13 points) host Atlanta United (15th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer
Match on April 25, 2026, 7:00 PM
Toronto aims to leverage its good home form and extend its lead in the table
Atlanta United is looking for a way out of its current crisis
近期状态
Toronto's form across all competitions is WWDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team is unbeaten in their last 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws
Their last 3 matches all ended in a draw
Atlanta United's form across all competitions is DLLLL
The team has recorded 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games
Atlanta United is on a negative run with 4 consecutive losses
Their last match ended in a loss
统计数据
Toronto's offense averages 1.78 goals per game (Home: 1.86 goals)
Atlanta United's offense averages 0.78 goals per game
Toronto's defense concedes an average of 1.89 goals per game (Home: 1.57 goals)
Atlanta United's defense concedes an average of 1.78 goals per game
In 7 of Toronto's games, both teams scored, compared to 4 for Atlanta United
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 of Toronto's games and 4 of Atlanta United's games
Toronto failed to score in 1 game, Atlanta United in 5 games
Both teams have kept 1 clean sheet each
历史交锋
There have been a total of 4 head-to-head matches between the teams
Both teams secured 1 win each, while 2 matches ended in a draw
Toronto scored 4 goals in these encounters, Atlanta United 3 goals
The last encounter on August 24, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
The head-to-head record is even
关键球员
For Toronto, Dániel Sallói (3 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 6.98), Josh Sargent (2 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.96), and Alonso Coello (0 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.16) are notable
Alonso Coello showed a stable form trend in the last 5 games with 1 assist and an avg rating of 7.29
Josh Sargent recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a stable form trend and avg rating of 7.02
For Atlanta United, Aleksey Miranchuk (4 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 7.20), Stian Gregersen (avg rating 7.00), and Lucas Hoyos (avg rating 6.55) stand out
Aleksey Miranchuk shows a declining form trend in the last 5 games with an avg rating of 6.89
Lucas Hoyos recorded a rising form trend in the last 5 games with an avg rating of 6.75
门将
Toronto's goalkeeper Luka Gavran has recorded 1 clean sheet this season
Atlanta United's goalkeeper Lucas Hoyos has recorded 1 clean sheet this season
Both teams show similar performance regarding games without conceding a goal
影响因素
Toronto scores an average of 1.86 goals at home and concedes 1.57 goals