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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers - Atlanta United

09/20/2026, 02:30 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Portland Timbers
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Atlanta United
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PTAU

Portland Timbers

排名优势 (第8位 vs 第14位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2球)
+0.04
全员可用

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.25
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
-0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02
Fafà Picault替补席 (3球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

28%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

72%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Portland's strong home record on artificial turf with 6 wins from 10 matches while Atlanta suffered 6 losses away on this surface
  • The mathematical model predicts a 46% home win probability and 1.57 expected goals for the Timbers
  • Portland's strong home offense averaging 1.94 goals meets Atlanta's vulnerable away defense conceding 2.2 goals on average
风险因素
  • High defensive instability for Portland with an average of 1.88 goals conceded per match
  • Extreme goal trend at Providence Park with an average of 4.6 goals and a 100% BTTS rate in recent matches
  • Limited data due to the lack of historical head-to-head records in the database
概述

Portland Timbers hosts Atlanta United

Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 4:30 AM

Portland occupies 8th place with 32 points

Atlanta United sits in 14th place with 23 points

The hosts enter the match as slight favorites

近期状态

Portland's current form is DLWDL

They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses recently

Atlanta's form is WLDLD

The visitors also registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Portland scores an average of 1.88 goals and concedes 1.88 goals per match

At home, Portland averages 1.94 goals scored and 1.5 conceded

Atlanta United scores 1.16 goals and concedes 1.72 on average

Away from home, Atlanta concedes an average of 2.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 20 out of Portland's 25 matches

关键球员

Kristoffer Velde has scored 8 goals and provided 6 assists this season

David Da Costa has registered 3 goals and 7 assists for the Timbers

Ariel Lassiter currently has 4 goals and 3 assists

Miguel Almirón leads Atlanta with 4 goals and 4 assists

Aleksey Miranchuk has recorded 5 goals and 7 assists this campaign

Tomás Jacob has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist so far

门将

James Pantemis plays in goal for Portland with 25 appearances and 1 clean sheet

Lucas Hoyos guarded the goal for Atlanta in 25 matches with 2 clean sheets

Both goalkeepers have played consistently

影响因素

The match is played at Providence Park on artificial turf

Portland achieved 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses on this surface

Atlanta recorded only 3 wins and 6 losses away on artificial turf

The stadium statistics show an average of 4.6 goals per game

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