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Major League Soccer

Toronto - Colorado Rapids

04/04/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Toronto
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Colorado Rapids
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
TORCR

Toronto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.47倍)
-1.47
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.97
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.33
Djordje Mihailovic替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)

Colorado Rapids

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.56倍)
+1.32
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.84
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.31
Darren Yapi替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.52
+0.52
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

27%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Colorado Rapids' offensive strength: Mathematical analysis calculates 1.57 expected away goals for Colorado
  • Toronto's home strength: The team averages 1.5 goals scored at home and concedes only 1 goal
  • Dangerous Colorado offense: Colorado Rapids averaged 5.8 shots on target in their last 5 games and consistently scores 2.2 goals per game
风险因素
  • Colorado Rapids' defensive weakness: The team concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • Potential for many goals: The mathematical analysis predicts over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%
  • Offensive absences: For Colorado Rapids, Darren Yapi is missing, who contributed 2 goals and 2 assists
概述

Toronto (7th place, 7 points) host Colorado Rapids (7th place, 9 points) in a Major League Soccer match on April 4, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams are in the middle of the table, aiming to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

近期状态

Toronto's last five matches show a form of LLWDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their last result was a win. Colorado Rapids' form is LWWLW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Both Toronto and Colorado Rapids ended their last matches with a win. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Toronto scores an average of 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6 goals per game. At home, they score 1.5 goals and concede 1 goal per game. Colorado Rapids is more offensively potent with an average of 2.2 goals per game but concedes 1.4 goals. Away from home, they score 2.5 goals but concede a high 3 goals per game. Both teams have kept one clean sheet each so far. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches for Toronto and 3 for Colorado.

历史交锋

There has only been one direct encounter between these teams. Toronto won this match 2-0 as the away team on September 22, 2024. Overall, Toronto scored 2 goals in this encounter, while Colorado Rapids remained scoreless.

关键球员

For Toronto, Dániel Sallói (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.88 Rating) and José Cifuentes (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.06 Rating) are key players. Walker Zimmerman (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.07 Rating) is also a crucial player. For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.56 Rating) and Paxten Aaronson (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.47 Rating) stand out. Hamzat Ojediran (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 6.95 Rating) also contributes to the team's performance.

门将

Toronto's goalkeeper Luka Gavran has an average rating of 6.57 this season and has kept one clean sheet. For Colorado Rapids, Zack Steffen is in goal with an average rating of 7.05 and also one clean sheet.

影响因素

Toronto averages 1.5 home goals per game and concedes 1 goal per home game. Colorado Rapids shows a strong away offense with an average of 2.5 goals, but also a vulnerable defense conceding 3 goals per away game.

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