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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - LA Galaxy

08/16/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.3
Total xG
2.3
LA Galaxy
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
HDLG

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.5倍)
-1.06
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.54
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.40
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第12位, 相差8位)
+0.05

LA Galaxy

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第4位, 相差8位)
-0.09
Marco Reus未进大名单 (4球, 6助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅47%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

32%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Form gap: Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in 5 matches (DDWWW) while LA Galaxy are winless in 5 matches (DLLDD)
  • Tactical metrics: Houston Dynamo averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches with 54.2% possession
  • Home strength: Houston's defensive setup allows only 0.88 goals conceded per home game on average
风险因素
  • Critical squad impact: Marco Reus is missing for LA Galaxy, leaving only 48% of their usual starting strength available
  • Away defensive issues: LA Galaxy concede an average of 1.5 goals per away game
  • Low-scoring venue: Matches at Shell Energy Stadium average only 1.6 goals
概述

Houston Dynamo host LA Galaxy at Shell Energy Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 16, 2026, 2:30 AM

Houston are in 4th place with 32 points

LA Galaxy are in 12th place with 22 points

Houston aim to secure their strong table position

近期状态

Form string Houston Dynamo: DDWWW

Form string LA Galaxy: DLLDD

Houston are unbeaten in 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws

LA Galaxy are winless in 5 games with 3 draws and 2 losses

Houston's recent form is positive while LA Galaxy are struggling

统计数据

Houston score an average of 1.5 goals and concede 1.33 goals per game

At home, Houston concede only 0.88 goals on average

LA Galaxy score 1.3 goals and concede 1.5 goals on average away from home

LA Galaxy have kept only one clean sheet away from home this season

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1, LA Galaxy won 1, and 3 ended in a draw

The last head-to-head match ended in a 1-1 draw

The historical goal difference is even at 6-6 goals

关键球员

Guilherme scored 11 goals and provided 5 assists this season with a 7.94 rating

Mateusz Bogusz has 4 goals and 1 assist with a rising form trend

Jack McGlynn contributed 2 goals and 5 assists so far

Joseph Paintsil is the most dangerous attacker for the guests with 4 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeeper J. Marcinkowski holds an average season rating of 7.06

Lucas Sanabria recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in midfield for LA Galaxy

门将

Jonathan Bond plays in goal for Houston and kept 7 clean sheets this season

J. Marcinkowski starts in goal for LA Galaxy and has 3 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Shell Energy Stadium

The venue history shows a low-scoring trend with an average of 1.6 goals per game

Houston's home defense is strong, conceding only 0.88 goals per game

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