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Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps

08/17/2026, 02:30 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Seattle Sounders
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SSVW

Seattle Sounders

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.25
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第2位, 相差10位)
-0.15
C. Roldan未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.2球)

Vancouver Whitecaps

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.28
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.23
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第12位, 相差10位)
+0.08
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.02
Brian White替补席 (10球, 2助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.8球 vs 总体2.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

31%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

69%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Significant form gap: Seattle suffered 5 consecutive losses while Vancouver is favored as 2nd in the standings with a 42% win probability
  • Tactical edge: Vancouver averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to only 3.6 for Seattle
  • Not in the lineup for the visitors: Star forward Brian White (10 goals, 2 assists) is injured, reducing Vancouver's usual threat
风险因素
  • Seattle's goal production has stalled, averaging only 0.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.18
  • Defensive weakness on the road: Vancouver Whitecaps concede an average of 1.71 goals per away game
  • Midfield loss: Seattle is missing midfielder C. Roldan (3 goals, 1 assist) due to injury
概述

Seattle Sounders (12th place, 24 points) host Vancouver Whitecaps (2nd place, 34 points) at Lumen Field

MLS match on August 17, 2026, 2:30 AM

The visitors arrive as 2nd in the table while Seattle looks to close the gap to the playoff spots

近期状态

Seattle Sounders are on a 5-game losing streak (Form: LLLLL)

Vancouver Whitecaps recently recorded 2 consecutive draws (Form: LWLDD)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Seattle scores an average of 1.18 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per game

Vancouver scores an average of 2.24 goals while conceding 1.00 goal per game

Seattle scores 1.18 goals on average at home, whereas Vancouver averages 2.29 goals away from home

历史交锋

Historical record from 5 head-to-head matches: 1 win for Seattle, 2 wins for Vancouver, 2 draws

Goal difference of 6:8 in favor of Vancouver

The last head-to-head match ended in a 2:2 draw on September 28, 2025

关键球员

Albert Rusnák with 3 goals and 4 assists, average rating 7.16

Jesús Ferreira with 2 goals and 4 assists, average rating 7.13

Paul Rothrock with 5 goals and 1 assist, average rating 6.95

Thomas Müller with 5 goals and 2 assists, average rating 7.35

Mathías Laborda with 3 goals and 3 assists, average rating 7.11

Jeevan Badwal with 1 goal and 2 assists, average rating 6.98

门将

Andrew Thomas recorded 5 clean sheets this season

Yohei Takaoka recorded 6 clean sheets for his team

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at Lumen Field

Seattle recorded 4W-1D-3L (14:14 goals) on artificial turf

Vancouver has a strong record of 8W-1D-1L (26:6 goals) on artificial turf

Venue history shows a high average of 4.4 goals per game

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