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Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids - Austin

08/02/2026, 01:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Colorado Rapids
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Austin
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
CRAUS

Colorado Rapids

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.25
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.25
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.11
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.04
Wayne Frederick替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Georgi Minoungou替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Austin

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.85
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-0.51
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.21
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.17
J. Rosales替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Jon Bell未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

27%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

73%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Model prediction: Home win probability is calculated at 52% with 1.74 expected goals for Colorado Rapids
  • Away defense vulnerability: Austin concedes an average of 3.5 goals per away game this season
  • Home offensive advantage: Colorado averages 1.6 goals scored per home match while Austin struggles on the road
风险因素
  • Declining goal production: Colorado Rapids' scoring has stalled recently at 0.8 goals per match compared to a 1.6 season average
  • Low offensive volume: Colorado averaged only 2.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • Head-to-head warning: Austin won the last meeting away 2-0 in June 2025
概述

Colorado Rapids hosts Austin at Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Major League Soccer match on August 2, 2026, 2:30 AM

Clash in the lower half of the table between 13th and 14th place

Colorado Rapids is the favorite with a predicted 52% win probability

近期状态

Colorado Rapids form: WLLWL

Austin form: LLLWL

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Colorado recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last matches

Austin obtained 1 win and 4 losses in their last matches

统计数据

Colorado Rapids scores 1.53 goals and concedes 1.47 goals on average

Strong home record with 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 goals conceded per match

Austin scores 1.29 goals and concedes 2.06 goals on average

Defensive issues away with 3.5 goals conceded per game on the road

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in total

Even record with 2 wins for each team

Overall goal difference stands at 5:5

Austin won the last meeting 2-0 away on June 8, 2025

关键球员

Rafael Navarro has 8 goals and 3 assists with a 7.24 rating

Paxten Aaronson contributes 4 goals and 4 assists with a 7.16 rating

Lucas Herrington solidifies the defense with a 7.08 rating

Myrto Uzuni is Austin's top scorer with 6 goals and a 7.01 rating

Facundo Torres has provided 5 assists with a 7.19 rating

Ilie Sánchez shows rising form with a 6.65 rating

门将

Nicolas Hansen plays for Colorado and has a 7.00 average rating

Brad Stuver guards Austin's goal with a 7.14 average rating

Hansen achieved 2 clean sheets at home this season

Stuver recorded 4 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

Match played at Dick's Sporting Goods Park on natural grass

Stadium average of 3.6 goals per game

Strong home advantage for Colorado against a travel-weary Austin side

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