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Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders

08/02/2026, 02:45 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Portland Timbers
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Seattle Sounders
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PTSS

Portland Timbers

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.31
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.05
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.02
Antony替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Seattle Sounders

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.53
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.26
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.26
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.02
Jesús Ferreira替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Jordan Morris未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

29%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

71%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Form Gap: Seattle enters with a streak of 5 consecutive losses while Portland has recently shown an upward trend
  • Tactical Advantage: Portland recently averaged 6.2 shots on target per match with 59% possession
  • Home vs Away Stats: Portland averages 1.8 goals scored at home while Seattle concedes an average of 1.6 goals away from home
风险因素
  • Portland's defensive vulnerability: Conceding an average of 1.88 goals per game with only 1 clean sheet all season
  • Seattle's missing attackers: Without Jesús Ferreira and Jordan Morris only 86% of the usual goal scoring threat is available
概述

Portland Timbers host Seattle Sounders at Providence Park

Major League Soccer match on August 2, 2026, 4:15 AM

Portland occupies 10th place with 21 points while Seattle is in 8th place with 24 points

Crucial match in the battle for playoff spots

近期状态

Portland Timbers show an upward trend with their form of LLWDW

Their last match was a 2-1 home victory against Real Salt Lake

Seattle Sounders are in a crisis with 5 consecutive losses and a form of LLLLL

The visitors lost their last match 0-1 away to Philadelphia Union

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Portland averages 1.82 goals scored and 1.88 goals conceded per game

Seattle averages 1.19 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded

At home Portland averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded

Away from home Seattle averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded

历史交锋

Out of the last 5 head-to-head matches Portland won 2 and Seattle won 1 with 2 draws

The last encounter ended in a dominant 5-1 away win for Portland on July 17, 2026

Recent history favors Portland in this matchup

关键球员

Kevin Kelsy is Portland's top forward with 8 goals this season and a rising form trend

Kristoffer Velde has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists for Portland

Albert Rusnák is Seattle's key midfielder with 3 goals and 4 assists this season

门将

James Pantemis plays in goal for Portland with an average rating of 7.11

Andrew Thomas has kept 5 clean sheets for Seattle this season

Both goalkeepers show a declining form trend in recent matches

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at Providence Park

Portland has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses on artificial turf

The venue averages 4.0 goals per game across the last 5 matches

The mathematical analysis estimates a home win probability of 44%

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