🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Orlando City - Chicago Fire

08/19/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Orlando City
1.4
Total xG
3.1
Chicago Fire
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
OCCF

Orlando City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.63
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.10
Braian Ojeda未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Eduard Atuesta替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Tiago替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Chicago Fire

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.56
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.21
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.06
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Philip Zinckernagel替补席 (5球, 8助攻)
Maren Haile-Selassie替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Robin Lod替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Leonardo Barroso替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅38%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

26%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

74%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Only 38% of Chicago Fire's usual goal threat is active, missing key players Philip Zinckernagel, Maren Haile-Selassie, Robin Lod, and Leonardo Barroso
  • Orlando City scored more goals on average recently (2.0) compared to their season average (1.63)
  • Orlando City averaged a strong 6.6 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Chicago Fire has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Chicago Fire concedes an average of 1.86 goals per away game
概述

Orlando City (10th place, 21 points) host Chicago Fire (3rd place, 32 points) at the Inter&Co Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 19, 2026, 7:30 PM

Third-placed Chicago Fire enter the match as the favorites

近期状态

Orlando City showing a form of LWWLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Cincinnati

Chicago Fire is in a form of WLLWW (3 wins, 2 losses) with two consecutive victories

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Orlando City scores an average of 1.63 goals but concedes 2.53 goals per match

At home, their defense is more stable, conceding 1.4 goals per game

Chicago Fire scores an average of 2.0 goals away from home while conceding 1.86 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire won 2, Orlando City won 1, and 2 ended in draws

The last match ended in a 3-1 win for Chicago Fire

The overall goal difference in these matches is 7-9 against Orlando City

关键球员

Antoine Griezmann stands out for Orlando City with a season average rating of 7.46

Justin Ellis contributes with 1 goal and 5 assists

Robert Lewandowski leads Chicago Fire with 2 goals and a rating of 7.11

门将

Maxime Crépeau has 18 appearances for Orlando City with 2 clean sheets

Chris Brady has kept 6 clean sheets this season for Chicago Fire

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Inter&Co Stadium

Stadium history shows an average of 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the historical matches at this venue

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。