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Major League Soccer

SJ Earthquakes - Portland Timbers

09/27/2026, 02:30 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
SJ Earthquakes
1.7
Total xG
3.0
Portland Timbers
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SEPT

SJ Earthquakes

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.13
Niko Tsakiris替补席 (3球, 7助攻)
Ousseni Bouda替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Jamar Ricketts替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Portland Timbers

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.00
Finn Surman替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

26%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

74%

双方进球

是

61%

否

39%

关键因素
  • Form advantage: SJ Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, while Portland lost 3 of their last 5 games
  • Porous away defense: Portland Timbers concede a high average of 2.56 goals per away match this season
  • Mathematical favorite: The pipeline model predicts a home win with a 47% probability
风险因素
  • Goekeeping uncertainty: SJ goalkeeper Earl Edwards Jr. has only played one match so far this season
  • Deficits in defensive stability: Portland managed only 1 clean sheet over 26 league fixtures
  • High-scoring history: Matches at PayPal Park average 4.0 goals, and the model estimates a 61% chance for BTTS
概述

SJ Earthquakes host Portland Timbers at PayPal Park

Major League Soccer match on September 27, 2026, 2:30 AM

SJ Earthquakes are in 5th place with 42 points

Portland Timbers are in 9th place with 32 points

The home team enters as the favorite

近期状态

Form of SJ Earthquakes: DDWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts recorded 2 wins and 3 draws recently

Form of Portland Timbers: LWDLL

The visitors have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

统计数据

SJ Earthquakes average 1.77 goals scored per game

The hosts score 1.83 goals per home game on average

Portland Timbers concede an average of 2.56 goals per away match

The visitors kept only 1 clean sheet so far this season

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches in total

Both teams secured 2 wins alongside 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 3-1 victory for the Earthquakes

关键球员

Preston Judd leads the Earthquakes with 13 goals and 3 assists

Timo Werner contributes with 6 goals and 5 assists

Kristoffer Velde has 8 goals and 6 assists for Portland

门将

Earl Edwards Jr. starts for the hosts with 1 appearance this season

James Pantemis has played all 26 matches in goal for Portland

SJ Earthquakes have 7 clean sheets compared to just 1 for Portland

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at PayPal Park

Matches at this venue average 4.0 goals per game

The home ground advantage plays a significant role

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