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Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps - Sporting KC

04/18/2026, 02:30 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.6
Total xG
3.4
Sporting KC
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

3:0

11%

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

1:1

8%
xG 分解
VWSK

Vancouver Whitecaps

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.35
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.37倍)
+1.08
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.53
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.17
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.09
AZ Jackson替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Sporting KC

防守不足 (场均失2.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+1.26
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.48倍)
-0.84
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.53
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.12
24%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.59
+0.59
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

77%

平局

16%

客胜

7%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

93%

客胜或平局

23%

非平局

84%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The model calculates a home win with 77% probability
  • League position: Vancouver Whitecaps are league leaders, Sporting KC are in 15th place
  • Form trend: Vancouver Whitecaps show excellent form (WWLWW), Sporting KC are in poor form (LWLLL)
  • Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps won all 4 recent direct encounters against Sporting KC
风险因素
  • Away defense: Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
  • Offensive efficiency: Sporting KC averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Vancouver Whitecaps (1st place, 18 points) host Sporting KC (15th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 18, 2026, 2:30 AM. For the Whitecaps, it's about solidifying their top position. Sporting KC is battling for crucial points at the bottom of the table.

近期状态

Vancouver Whitecaps are in excellent form with WWLWW in their last five matches. This means 4 wins and 1 loss. They recently secured 2 consecutive wins.

Sporting KC is in a difficult phase with LWLLL from their last five fixtures. This corresponds to 1 win and 4 losses. The team has 3 consecutive losses.

统计数据

Vancouver Whitecaps impress this season with an average of 2.71 goals scored and only 0.57 goals conceded per game. They kept 4 clean sheets and saw over 2.5 goals in 4 matches. At home, they averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded. Sporting KC records an average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.43 goals conceded per game. They kept no clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 6 matches. Away from home, they averaged 1.0 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded.

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches over the last two years, Vancouver Whitecaps won all 4 encounters. Sporting KC did not achieve any victories. The Whitecaps scored a total of 9 goals and conceded 2. The last meeting ended in a 2-0 victory for Vancouver on September 21, 2025. The Whitecaps dominate recent head-to-head duels.

关键球员

For Vancouver Whitecaps, Brian White is a key player with 6 goals in 7 season appearances, scoring 5 goals in his last 5 games. Sebastian Berhalter contributes with 3 goals and 4 assists in 7 games, but recently showed a slightly declining form trend. Mathías Laborda is also important as a defender with 2 goals and 2 assists in 6 games.

For Sporting KC, Dejan Joveljić is the most important scorer with 4 goals and 1 assist in 7 games, although his form has been declining. Jacob Bartlett scored 1 goal in 7 games. Manu García contributed 1 assist in 7 games.

Not nominated for the Whitecaps: AZ Jackson (1G/1A).

门将

Vancouver Whitecaps goalkeeper, Yohei Takaoka, played 7 games this season and contributed to 4 clean sheets. He also provided 1 assist. For Sporting KC, John Pulskamp was in goal for 7 games but recorded no clean sheets.

影响因素

Vancouver Whitecaps show a strong home advantage, with an average of 2.5 home goals scored and only 0.5 home goals conceded per game. This underlines their defensive stability and offensive efficiency in home matches.

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