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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - Nashville SC

04/18/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Nashville SC
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
AUNS

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-1.16
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.64
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第1位, 相差12位)
-0.17
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
+0.04
Miguel Almirón替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1球)

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.53
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第13位, 相差12位)
+0.08
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.06
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
+0.03
Sam Surridge替补席 (7球, 0助攻)
Patrick Yazbek替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体2.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

29%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Nashville SC's outstanding season performance (1st place, 16 points) and strong goal average of 2.14 goals per game
  • Atlanta United's poor overall form and defense (13th place, 1.71 goals conceded per game)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a slightly higher win probability of 38% for Nashville SC
风险因素
  • Nashville SC's higher average of goals conceded in away games is 2.0 compared to their season average of 0.57
  • According to advanced statistics, Nashville SC shows a slowed goal production of 2.2 recent goals compared to their season average of 2.5 goals
概述

Atlanta United (13th place, 4 points) host Nashville SC (1st place, 16 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 18, 2026, 7:30 PM. Nashville SC has had an excellent start to the season and leads the table, while Atlanta United is fighting for points in the lower half of the league.

近期状态

Atlanta United's current form shows LWDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) across all competitions in their last five matches. Their last game ended in a loss.

Nashville SC, on the other hand, shows strong form with WWWLW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) in their last five games. The team won their last match.

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlanta United has scored an average of 0.86 goals per game this season and conceded 1.71 goals. They kept 1 clean sheet. Both teams scored in 3 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches.

Nashville SC shows a strong offense with an average of 2.14 goals per game and a solid defense with only 0.57 goals conceded per game. They kept 3 clean sheets. Both teams scored in 3 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches.

Atlanta United scores an average of 0.86 goals at home and concedes 1.0 goals. Nashville SC scores an average of 3.0 goals away and concedes 2.0 goals.

历史交锋

In the four head-to-head matches between the two teams, Atlanta United secured 1 win, Nashville SC recorded 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Nashville SC scored a total of 4 goals, while Atlanta United scored 3 goals. The last encounter saw Atlanta United win 1-0 against Nashville SC on August 31, 2025.

关键球员

For Atlanta United, Aleksey Miranchuk is an important player, having scored 4 goals in 6 season appearances. His form is rising with 3 goals in his last 3 games. Emmanuel Latte Lath contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in 7 games. Tomás Jacob has scored 1 goal in 7 games.

For Nashville SC, Cristian Espinoza is a key player with 2 goals and 2 assists in 7 season appearances. Warren Madrigal scored 2 goals in 7 games. Hany Mukhtar has 2 goals and 1 assist in 7 appearances.

门将

Lucas Hoyos, Atlanta United's goalkeeper, has recorded 1 clean sheet this season. Brian Schwake, Nashville SC's goalkeeper, has achieved 3 clean sheets in the current season.

影响因素

Atlanta United's home record with an average of 0.86 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded suggests a moderate home advantage. Nashville SC has scored an average of 3.0 goals away and conceded 2.0 goals.

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